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Featherweight

3 Rounds

Levan Makashvili won · S-DEC R3

Elo1357

Elo1490

Mark EddivavsLevan MakashviliUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Faber · Saturday, May 16, 2015Manila, Philippines

Official fight result

Levan Makashvili won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupMark Eddiva: Well-roundedvsLevan Makashvili: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Mark Eddiva wins(67.8%)

Actual result: Levan Makashvili wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Mark Eddiva at +320 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Levan Makashvili has 22pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Mark Eddiva

Red Corner

Levan Makashvili

Blue Corner

+320

(24%)

Vegas Odds

-390

(80%)

1357

Elo

1490

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'8"

Height

5'8"

172.72 cm

Reach

172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Mark EddivaL2 streak

oldest →

vs Jumabieke Tuerxun · Mar 14

KOvs Kevin Souza · May 14

SUBvs Dan Hooker · Mar 16

latest

Levan Makashvili

oldest →

vs Hacran Dias · Jun 15

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Mark EddivaMetricLevan Makashvili

3.37

Strikes / min

2.87

2.98

Strikes absorbed / min

2.07

54%

Strike defense

61%

1.45

TDs / 15 min

3.67

63%

Takedown defense

85%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.39evenly matched on net striking+0.80

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Mark EddivaLevan Makashvili

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Mark Eddiva(4 fights)Levan Makashvili(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -133.8|Blue +133.8

Recent Form

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Striker Score

Red -48.3|Blue +48.3

Grappler Score

Red -49.7|Blue +49.7

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Mark EddivaTargetLevan Makashvili

By target zone

12% acc · 16%

Head

31% acc · 41%

85% acc · 34%

Body

62% acc · 30%

70% acc · 50%

Leg

89% acc · 30%

By position

31% acc · 59%

Distance

28% acc · 33%

87% acc · 41%

Clinch

68% acc · 48%

Ground

83% acc · 19%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Mark Eddiva rounds

even

Levan Makashvili rounds

Round 1Levan Makashvili edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns0

Control0:24

14Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

1:47Control

Round 2Mark Eddiva edged it

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns0

Control0:03

4Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:10Control

Round 3Levan Makashvili edged it

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns0

Control0:00

9Sig. strikes

4Takedowns

2:51Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

32 / 77

Sig Strikes

27 / 57

40.3%

Sig Str %

45.3%

36 / 82

Total Strikes

63 / 98

0 / 4

TDs

7 / 13

TD %

61%

Sub Att

Rev

0:27

Ctrl Time

5:48

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Levan Makashvili	14 / 28	22 / 36	2 / 2
1	Mark Eddiva	14 / 26	14 / 26	0 / 3
2	Levan Makashvili	4 / 13	19 / 28	1 / 3
2	Mark Eddiva	12 / 28	13 / 29	0 / 1
3	Levan Makashvili	9 / 16	22 / 34	4 / 8
3	Mark Eddiva	6 / 23	9 / 27	0 / 0

Mark Eddiva

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights4

Levan Makashvili

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights2