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Women's Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Yana Kunitskaya won · U-DEC R3
Elo1404
Elo1494
Yana Kunitskaya

Marion ReneauvsYana KunitskayaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos · Saturday, March 9, 2019Wichita, Kansas, USA

Official fight result

Yana Kunitskaya won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Marion Reneau wins(55.3%)

Actual result: Yana Kunitskaya wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Marion Reneau at +195 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Marion Reneau enters on a 4-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Marion Reneau
Red Corner
VS
Yana Kunitskaya
Blue Corner
+195
(34%)
Vegas Odds
-235
(70%)
1404
Elo
1494
49
Age
29
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'6"
172.72 cm
Reach
172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Marion ReneauL4 streak
oldest →
W
SUBvs Sara McMann · Feb 18
L
vs Cat Zingano · Jul 18
L
vs Raquel Pennington · Jun 20
L
vs Macy Chiasson · Mar 21
L
KOvs Miesha Tate · Jul 21
latest
Yana Kunitskaya
oldest →
W
vs Lina Lansberg · Oct 18
L
KOvs Aspen Ladd · Dec 19
W
DECvs Julija Stoliarenko · Aug 20
W
vs Ketlen Vieira · Feb 21
L
KOvs Irene Aldana · Jul 21
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Marion ReneauMetricYana Kunitskaya
3.20
Strikes / min
—
3.52
Strikes absorbed / min
—
59%
Strike defense
—
0.62
TDs / 15 min
—
50%
Takedown defense
—
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
—

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1526 vs 1503Strikes43.0 vs 38.5Takedowns0.2 vs 3.0Sub Atts1.00 vs 0.50Form0.1 vs 0.3
Marion ReneauYana Kunitskaya

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Marion Reneau(10 fights)Yana Kunitskaya(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -90.0|Blue +90.0
Recent Form
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Striker Score
Red +2.5|Blue -2.5
Grappler Score
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff
Red +84.0|Blue -84.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Marion Reneau

StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights12

Yana Kunitskaya

StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights1