Women's Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Marion Reneau won · KO/TKO R3

Elo1404

Elo1358

Marion ReneauvsMilana DudievaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Hall 2 · Saturday, November 19, 2016Belfast, Northern Ireland, United Kingdom

Official fight result

Marion Reneau won

KO/TKO · Round 3 · 3:03

Model Prediction: Marion Reneau wins(67.3%)

Actual result: Marion Reneau wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Marion Reneau at -225 American odds

+$44 profit

$144 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Marion Reneau enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
Marion Reneau has 50pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Marion Reneau has a 18cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Marion Reneau

Red Corner

Milana Dudieva

Blue Corner

-225

(69%)

Vegas Odds

+185

(35%)

1404

Elo

1358

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'6"

Height

5'3"

172.72 cm

Reach

154.94 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Marion ReneauL5 streak

oldest →

vs Cat Zingano · Jul 18

vs Yana Kunitskaya · Mar 19

vs Raquel Pennington · Jun 20

vs Macy Chiasson · Mar 21

KOvs Miesha Tate · Jul 21

latest

Milana Dudieva

oldest →

vs Elizabeth Phillips · Aug 14

KOvs Julianna Pena · Apr 15

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Marion ReneauMetricMilana Dudieva

3.20

Strikes / min

0.87

3.52

Strikes absorbed / min

3.43

59%

Strike defense

58%

0.62

TDs / 15 min

2.34

50%

Takedown defense

0.80

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.32Δ 2.24 — meaningful gap-2.56

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Marion ReneauMilana Dudieva

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Marion Reneau(10 fights)Milana Dudieva(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +45.3|Blue -45.3

Recent Form

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Striker Score

Red +2.2|Blue -2.2

Grappler Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Layoff

Red -323.0|Blue +323.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Marion ReneauTargetMilana Dudieva

By target zone

31% acc · 79%

Head

24% acc · 47%

70% acc · 15%

Body

43% acc · 18%

100% acc · 6%

Leg

100% acc · 35%

By position

20% acc · 33%

Distance

34% acc · 71%

59% acc · 46%

Clinch

50% acc · 24%

59% acc · 21%

Ground

25% acc · 6%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Marion Reneau rounds

even

Milana Dudieva rounds

Round 1Milana Dudieva edged it

Sig. strikes7

Takedowns0

Control0:01

9Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:03Control

Round 2Marion Reneau edged it

Sig. strikes26

Takedowns0

Control2:13

8Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:27Control

Round 3Marion Reneau edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns1

Control2:06

0Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

48 / 136

Sig Strikes

17 / 47

35.7%

Sig Str %

28.7%

72 / 170

Total Strikes

36 / 68

1 / 1

TDs

2 / 4

100%

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

4:20

Ctrl Time

2:30

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Milana Dudieva	9 / 27	15 / 34	1 / 2	0
1	Marion Reneau	7 / 49	7 / 49	0 / 0	1
2	Milana Dudieva	8 / 15	17 / 25	1 / 2	0
2	Marion Reneau	26 / 55	36 / 71	0 / 0	0
3	Milana Dudieva	0 / 5	4 / 9	0 / 0	0
3	Marion Reneau	15 / 32	29 / 50	1 / 1	0

Marion Reneau

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights12

Milana Dudieva

StanceOrthodox

Height63.0"

Reach—

Fights3