Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Mario Pinto enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Mario Pinto is a KO finisher (67% of wins). Ryan Spann has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Mario Pinto has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Mario Pinto has 41pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Mario PintoW3 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Austen Lane · Mar 25W
KOvs Jhonata Diniz · Oct 25W
vs Felipe Franco · Mar 26 Ryan SpannW2 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Bogdan Guskov · Apr 24W
SUBvs Ovince Saint Preux · Oct 24L
KOvs Waldo Cortes Acosta · Mar 25W
SUBvs Lukasz Brzeski · Jul 25W
KOvs Marcus Buchecha · Apr 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Mario PintoMetricRyan Spann
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.92Δ 1.73 — meaningful gap-0.81
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Mario Pinto(3 fights)Ryan Spann(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +29.7|Blue -29.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +35.0|Blue -35.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Method Projection
Matchup projection based on both fighters' finish patterns and vulnerabilities. These three projected methods total 100%. Most likely: KO / TKO.
Historical win share: Mario Pinto earned 67% of wins by KO/TKO.
Historical win share: Ryan Spann earned 40% of wins by submission.
Both fighters frequently end fights early.
