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Women's Strawweight

3 Rounds

Virna Jandiroba won · U-DEC R3

Elo1483

Elo1529

Marina RodriguezvsVirna JandirobaUFC Prediction Result

UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · Saturday, May 6, 2023Newark, New Jersey, USA

Official fight result

Virna Jandiroba won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupMarina Rodriguez: Well-roundedvsVirna Jandiroba: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Marina Rodriguez wins(54.5%)

Actual result: Virna Jandiroba wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Marina Rodriguez at -120 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Marina Rodriguez enters on a 3-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Marina Rodriguez

Red Corner

Virna Jandiroba

Blue Corner

-120

(55%)

Vegas Odds

+102

(50%)

1483

Elo

1529

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'6"

Height

5'3"

165.1 cm

Reach

162.56 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Marina RodriguezL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Amanda Lemos · Nov 22

KOvs Michelle Waterson-Gomez · Sep 23

vs Jessica Andrade · Apr 24

vs Iasmin Lucindo · Oct 24

KOvs Gillian Robertson · May 25

latest

Virna Jandiroba

oldest →

vs Loopy Godinez · Mar 24

SUBvs Amanda Lemos · Jul 24

vs Yan Xiaonan · Apr 25

vs Mackenzie Dern · Oct 25

DECvs Tabatha Ricci · Apr 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Marina RodriguezMetricVirna Jandiroba

4.51

Strikes / min

2.27

3.01

Strikes absorbed / min

2.86

55%

Strike defense

55%

0.27

TDs / 15 min

3.13

61%

Takedown defense

72%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

1.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.50Δ 2.09 — meaningful gap-0.59

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Marina RodriguezVirna Jandiroba

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Marina Rodriguez(10 fights)Virna Jandiroba(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -45.7|Blue +45.7

Recent Form

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Striker Score

Red +0.6|Blue -0.6

Grappler Score

Red -0.5|Blue +0.5

Layoff

Red -175.0|Blue +175.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Marina RodriguezTargetVirna Jandiroba

By target zone

52% acc · 82%

Head

61% acc · 93%

63% acc · 15%

Body

100% acc · 4%

50% acc · 3%

Leg

100% acc · 4%

By position

27% acc · 30%

Distance

32% acc · 26%

100% acc · 9%

Clinch

100% acc · 19%

91% acc · 61%

Ground

94% acc · 56%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Marina Rodriguez rounds

even

Virna Jandiroba rounds

Round 1Virna Jandiroba edged it

Sig. strikes7

Takedowns0

Control0:00

4Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

4:36Control

Round 2Virna Jandiroba edged it

Sig. strikes5

Takedowns0

Control0:05

11Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

4:06Control

Round 3Even round

Sig. strikes21

Takedowns0

Control0:00

12Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

3:20Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

33 / 62

Sig Strikes

27 / 43

57.3%

Sig Str %

61.7%

115 / 150

Total Strikes

91 / 116

0 / 0

TDs

3 / 7

—

TD %

58.3%

Sub Att

Rev

0:05

Ctrl Time

12:02

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Virna Jandiroba	4 / 7	31 / 40	1 / 1
1	Marina Rodriguez	7 / 9	18 / 21	0 / 0
2	Virna Jandiroba	11 / 16	34 / 40	1 / 4
2	Marina Rodriguez	5 / 11	27 / 33	0 / 0
3	Virna Jandiroba	12 / 20	26 / 36	1 / 2
3	Marina Rodriguez	21 / 42	70 / 96	0 / 0

Marina Rodriguez

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach65.0"

Fights13

Virna Jandiroba

StanceOrthodox

Height63.0"

Reach64.0"

Fights13