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Lightweight
3 Rounds
Marcus LeVesseur won · S-DEC R3
Elo1490
Elo1352
Carlo Prater

Marcus LeVesseurvsCarlo PraterUFC Prediction Result

UFC on FX: Browne vs Bigfoot · Friday, October 5, 2012Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA

Official fight result

Marcus LeVesseur won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Carlo Prater wins(60.0%)

Actual result: Marcus LeVesseur wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Carlo Prater at +145 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Marcus LeVesseur has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Carlo Prater (54.1%).

Tale of the Tape

Marcus LeVesseur
Red Corner
VS
Carlo Prater
Blue Corner
-155
(61%)
Vegas Odds
+145
(41%)
1490
Elo
1352
44
Age
45
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
5'9"
Height
5'11"
177.8 cm
Reach
182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 2 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Marcus LeVesseurL2 streak
oldest →
L
SUBvs Cody McKenzie · May 12
L
KOvs Abel Trujillo · Dec 12
latest
Carlo Prater
oldest →
W
vs Erick Silva · Jan 12
L
vs TJ Grant · May 12
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Marcus LeVesseurMetricCarlo Prater
2.55
Strikes / min
2.03
3.70
Strikes absorbed / min
4.07
37%
Strike defense
35%
3.89
TDs / 15 min
0.43
83%
Takedown defense
57%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
1.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.15evenly matched on net striking-2.04

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1480 vs 1500Strikes7.0 vs 13.5Takedowns2.0 vs 0.0Sub Atts1.00 vs 0.50Form-1.0 vs -0.2
Marcus LeVesseurCarlo Prater

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14901495150015051510← oldermost recent →
Marcus LeVesseur(3 fights)Carlo Prater(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +138.5|Blue -138.5
Recent Form
Red -0.8|Blue +0.8
Striker Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Grappler Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Layoff
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Marcus LeVesseurTargetCarlo Prater

By target zone

10
34% acc · 19%
Head
0
0% acc
9
90% acc · 17%
Body
29
62% acc · 69%
34
89% acc · 64%
Leg
13
100% acc · 31%

By position

10
37% acc · 19%
Distance
5
21% acc · 12%
42
88% acc · 79%
Clinch
37
67% acc · 88%
1
50% acc · 2%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

3
Marcus LeVesseur rounds
0
even
0
Carlo Prater rounds
Round 1Marcus LeVesseur edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns1
Control2:47
16Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:09Control
Round 2Marcus LeVesseur edged it
Sig. strikes22
Takedowns2
Control2:26
13Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:53Control
Round 3Marcus LeVesseur edged it
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns0
Control3:14
13Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:10Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
53 / 77
Sig Strikes
42 / 79
68.3%
Sig Str %
54%
109 / 140
Total Strikes
54 / 91
3 / 7
TDs
0 / 5
50%
TD %
0%
0
Sub Att
3
0
Rev
0
8:27
Ctrl Time
2:12

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Carlo Prater16 / 2323 / 300 / 10
1Marcus LeVesseur15 / 2236 / 431 / 20
2Carlo Prater13 / 3015 / 320 / 31
2Marcus LeVesseur22 / 3028 / 372 / 20
3Carlo Prater13 / 2616 / 290 / 12
3Marcus LeVesseur16 / 2545 / 600 / 30

Marcus LeVesseur

StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights3

Carlo Prater

StanceSwitch
Height71.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights3