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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Russell Doane won · S-DEC R3

Elo1355

Elo1491

Marcus BrimagevsRussell DoaneUFC Prediction Result

UFC 175: Weidman vs Machida · Saturday, July 5, 2014Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Russell Doane won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupMarcus Brimage: Well-roundedvsRussell Doane: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Russell Doane wins(51.9%)

Actual result: Russell Doane wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Russell Doane at +105 American odds

+$105 profit

$205 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Marcus Brimage has 28pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Marcus Brimage (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Marcus Brimage

Red Corner

Russell Doane

Blue Corner

-115

(53%)

Vegas Odds

+105

(49%)

1355

Elo

1491

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'4"

Height

5'7"

180.34 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Marcus BrimageL2 streak

oldest →

vs Jimy Hettes · Sep 12

KOvs Conor McGregor · Apr 13

KOvs Jumabieke Tuerxun · Nov 14

KOvs Cody Garbrandt · Jan 15

KOvs Jimmie Rivera · Jul 15

latest

Russell Doane

oldest →

vs Jerrod Sanders · Jul 15

SUBvs Pedro Munhoz · Jul 16

SUBvs Mirsad Bektic · Oct 16

KOvs Kwan Ho Kwak · Jun 17

SUBvs Rani Yahya · Feb 18

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Marcus BrimageMetricRussell Doane

3.97

Strikes / min

1.75

3.64

Strikes absorbed / min

1.68

56%

Strike defense

53%

0.56

TDs / 15 min

2.11

80%

Takedown defense

52%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.80

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.33evenly matched on net striking+0.07

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Marcus BrimageRussell Doane

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Marcus Brimage(8 fights)Russell Doane(8 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -136.0|Blue +136.0

Recent Form

Red -0.9|Blue +0.9

Striker Score

Red +3.4|Blue -3.4

Grappler Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Layoff

Red +273.0|Blue -273.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Marcus BrimageTargetRussell Doane

By target zone

17% acc · 33%

Head

24% acc · 63%

67% acc · 7%

Body

89% acc · 33%

80% acc · 59%

Leg

100% acc · 4%

By position

34% acc · 89%

Distance

23% acc · 58%

75% acc · 11%

Clinch

100% acc · 21%

Ground

100% acc · 21%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Marcus Brimage rounds

even

Russell Doane rounds

Round 1Russell Doane edged it

Sig. strikes3

Takedowns0

Control0:00

8Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

3:02Control

Round 2Russell Doane edged it

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns0

Control0:16

7Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

1:35Control

Round 3Marcus Brimage edged it

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns2

Control0:15

9Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

27 / 75

Sig Strikes

24 / 72

34.3%

Sig Str %

34.7%

33 / 81

Total Strikes

37 / 86

2 / 2

TDs

3 / 9

100%

TD %

44.3%

Sub Att

Rev

0:31

Ctrl Time

4:37

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Russell Doane	8 / 19	14 / 25	1 / 1
1	Marcus Brimage	3 / 22	3 / 22	0 / 0
2	Russell Doane	7 / 19	14 / 27	2 / 6
2	Marcus Brimage	13 / 27	18 / 32	0 / 0
3	Russell Doane	9 / 34	9 / 34	0 / 2
3	Marcus Brimage	11 / 26	12 / 27	2 / 2

Marcus Brimage

StanceSouthpaw

Height64.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights8

Russell Doane

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights8