Skip to content
FIGHTDETECTIVE
← All fights/Event page
Featherweight
3 Rounds
Marcus Brimage won · S-DEC R3
Elo1355
Elo1358
Maximo Blanco

Marcus BrimagevsMaximo BlancoUFC Prediction Result

UFC 145: Jones vs Evans · Saturday, April 21, 2012Atlanta, Georgia, USA

Official fight result

Marcus Brimage won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupMarcus Brimage: Well-roundedvsMaximo Blanco: Well-rounded

Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.

Model Prediction: Marcus Brimage wins(72.6%)

Actual result: Marcus Brimage wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Marcus Brimage at +215 American odds

+$215 profit

$315 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Maximo Blanco has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Marcus Brimage has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Marcus Brimage (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Marcus Brimage
Red Corner
VS
Maximo Blanco
Blue Corner
+215
(32%)
Vegas Odds
-235
(70%)
1355
Elo
1358
41
Age
42
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'4"
Height
5'8"
180.34 cm
Reach
180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Marcus BrimageL2 streak
oldest →
L
KOvs Conor McGregor · Apr 13
L
vs Russell Doane · Jul 14
W
KOvs Jumabieke Tuerxun · Nov 14
L
KOvs Cody Garbrandt · Jan 15
L
KOvs Jimmie Rivera · Jul 15
latest
Maximo BlancoL2 streak
oldest →
W
vs Andy Ogle · May 14
W
vs Dan Hooker · Sep 14
W
KOvs Mike de la Torre · Jul 15
L
SUBvs Luke Sanders · Jan 16
L
SUBvs Chas Skelly · Sep 16
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Marcus BrimageMetricMaximo Blanco
3.97
Strikes / min
4.11
3.64
Strikes absorbed / min
3.19
56%
Strike defense
66%
0.56
TDs / 15 min
1.85
80%
Takedown defense
63%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.33evenly matched on net striking+0.92

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1516 vs 1500Strikes88.0 vs —Takedowns1.0 vs —Sub Atts0.00 vs —Form1.0 vs 0.0
Marcus BrimageMaximo Blanco

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14901495150015051510← oldermost recent →
Marcus Brimage(8 fights)Maximo Blanco(9 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -3.0|Blue +3.0
Recent Form
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Grappler Score
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Marcus BrimageTargetMaximo Blanco

By target zone

15
14% acc · 63%
Head
9
15% acc · 50%
2
18% acc · 8%
Body
4
40% acc · 22%
7
41% acc · 29%
Leg
5
56% acc · 28%

By position

24
18% acc · 100%
Distance
17
23% acc · 94%
0
0% acc
Clinch
1
33% acc · 6%
0
0% acc
Ground
0
0% acc

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Marcus Brimage rounds
2
even
0
Maximo Blanco rounds
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns0
Control0:00
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:01Control
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns0
Control0:01
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Marcus Brimage edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns0
Control0:00
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
24 / 136
Sig Strikes
18 / 78
17%
Sig Str %
23.3%
24 / 136
Total Strikes
18 / 78
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 3
—
TD %
0%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:01
Ctrl Time
0:01

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Maximo Blanco6 / 226 / 220 / 10
1Marcus Brimage8 / 428 / 420 / 00
2Maximo Blanco6 / 266 / 260 / 00
2Marcus Brimage6 / 436 / 430 / 00
3Maximo Blanco6 / 306 / 300 / 20
3Marcus Brimage10 / 5110 / 510 / 00

Marcus Brimage

StanceSouthpaw
Height64.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights8

Maximo Blanco

StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights9