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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Jimmie Rivera won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1355

Elo1493

Marcus BrimagevsJimmie RiveraUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Leites · Saturday, July 18, 2015Glasgow, Scotland, United Kingdom

Official fight result

Jimmie Rivera won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 1:29

Style matchupMarcus Brimage: Well-roundedvsJimmie Rivera: Pressure fighter

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Marcus Brimage wins(59.5%)

Actual result: Jimmie Rivera wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Marcus Brimage at +130 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Stance matchup historically favors Marcus Brimage (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Marcus Brimage

Red Corner

Jimmie Rivera

Blue Corner

+130

(43%)

Vegas Odds

-140

(58%)

1355

Elo

1493

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'4"

Height

5'4"

180.34 cm

Reach

172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Marcus Brimage

oldest →

vs Jimy Hettes · Sep 12

KOvs Conor McGregor · Apr 13

vs Russell Doane · Jul 14

KOvs Jumabieke Tuerxun · Nov 14

KOvs Cody Garbrandt · Jan 15

latest

Jimmie Rivera

oldest →

vs John Dodson · Sep 18

vs Aljamain Sterling · Feb 19

vs Petr Yan · Jun 19

vs Cody Stamann · Jul 20

vs Pedro Munhoz · Feb 21

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Marcus BrimageMetricJimmie Rivera

3.97

Strikes / min

4.03

3.64

Strikes absorbed / min

3.90

56%

Strike defense

60%

0.56

TDs / 15 min

0.88

80%

Takedown defense

92%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.33evenly matched on net striking+0.13

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Marcus BrimageJimmie Rivera

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Marcus Brimage(8 fights)Jimmie Rivera(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -138.2|Blue +138.2

Recent Form

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Striker Score

Red -46.7|Blue +46.7

Grappler Score

Red -49.8|Blue +49.8

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Marcus BrimageTargetJimmie Rivera

By target zone

33% acc · 44%

Head

50% acc · 67%

100% acc · 44%

Body

60% acc · 20%

100% acc · 11%

Leg

100% acc · 13%

By position

53% acc · 100%

Distance

54% acc · 93%

Clinch

Ground

100% acc · 7%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Marcus Brimage rounds

even

Jimmie Rivera rounds

Round 1Jimmie Rivera edged it

Sig. strikes9

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

15Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:01Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

9 / 17

Sig Strikes

15 / 27

52%

Sig Str %

55%

9 / 17

Total Strikes

15 / 27

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:01

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Jimmie Rivera	15 / 27	15 / 27	0 / 0	0
1	Marcus Brimage	9 / 17	9 / 17	0 / 0	0

Marcus Brimage

StanceSouthpaw

Height64.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights8

Jimmie Rivera

StanceOrthodox

Height64.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights11