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Featherweight

3 Rounds

Conor McGregor won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1355

Elo1474

Marcus BrimagevsConor McGregorUFC Prediction Result

UFC on FUEL TV: Mousasi vs Latifi · Saturday, April 6, 2013Stockholm, Sweden

Official fight result

Conor McGregor won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 1:07

Style matchupMarcus Brimage: Well-roundedvsConor McGregor: Pressure fighter

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Marcus Brimage wins(71.0%)

Actual result: Conor McGregor wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Marcus Brimage at +140 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Conor McGregor enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Conor McGregor is a KO finisher (80% of wins). Marcus Brimage has lost 75% of fights by KO.

Tale of the Tape

Marcus Brimage

Red Corner

Conor McGregor

Blue Corner

+140

(42%)

Vegas Odds

-150

(60%)

1355

Elo

1474

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Southpaw

5'4"

Height

5'9"

180.34 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Marcus BrimageL2 streak

oldest →

vs Jimy Hettes · Sep 12

vs Russell Doane · Jul 14

KOvs Jumabieke Tuerxun · Nov 14

KOvs Cody Garbrandt · Jan 15

KOvs Jimmie Rivera · Jul 15

latest

Conor McGregorL3 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Khabib Nurmagomedov · Oct 18

KOvs Donald Cerrone · Jan 20

KOvs Dustin Poirier · Jan 21

KOvs Dustin Poirier · Jul 21

KOvs Max Holloway · Jul 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Marcus BrimageMetricConor McGregor

3.97

Strikes / min

5.32

3.64

Strikes absorbed / min

4.66

56%

Strike defense

54%

0.56

TDs / 15 min

0.67

80%

Takedown defense

66%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.33evenly matched on net striking+0.66

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Marcus BrimageConor McGregor

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Marcus Brimage(8 fights)Conor McGregor(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -119.1|Blue +119.1

Recent Form

Red +1.0|Blue -1.0

Striker Score

Red -47.0|Blue +47.0

Grappler Score

Red -49.7|Blue +49.7

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Marcus BrimageTargetConor McGregor

By target zone

21% acc · 58%

Head

59% acc · 95%

100% acc · 17%

Body

100% acc · 5%

60% acc · 25%

Leg

By position

29% acc · 100%

Distance

55% acc · 76%

Clinch

Ground

83% acc · 24%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Marcus Brimage rounds

even

Conor McGregor rounds

Round 1Conor McGregor edged it

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

21Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:05Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

12 / 41

Sig Strikes

21 / 35

29%

Sig Str %

60%

12 / 41

Total Strikes

22 / 36

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:05

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Conor McGregor	21 / 35	22 / 36	0 / 0	0
1	Marcus Brimage	12 / 41	12 / 41	0 / 0	0

Marcus Brimage

StanceSouthpaw

Height64.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights8

Conor McGregor

StanceSouthpaw

Height69.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights15