Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Gadzhimurad Antigulov won · SUB R1

Elo1506

Elo1390

Marcos Rogerio de LimavsGadzhimurad AntigulovUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Hall 2 · Saturday, November 19, 2016Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil

Official fight result

Gadzhimurad Antigulov won

SUB · Round 1 · 1:07

Style matchupMarcos Rogerio de Lima: Well-roundedvsGadzhimurad Antigulov: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Marcos Rogerio de Lima wins(74.2%)

Actual result: Gadzhimurad Antigulov wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Marcos Rogerio de Lima at -165 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Gadzhimurad Antigulov enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Marcos Rogerio de Lima is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Gadzhimurad Antigulov has lost 75% of fights by KO.
Gadzhimurad Antigulov threatens submissions; Marcos Rogerio de Lima has lost 71% of fights by sub.
Marcos Rogerio de Lima has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Marcos Rogerio de Lima has 59pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Marcos Rogerio de Lima has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Marcos Rogerio de Lima

Red Corner

Gadzhimurad Antigulov

Blue Corner

-165

(62%)

Vegas Odds

+145

(41%)

1506

Elo

1390

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'1"

Height

5'11"

190.5 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Marcos Rogerio de Lima

oldest →

vs Blagoy Ivanov · May 22

SUBvs Andrei Arlovski · Oct 22

vs Waldo Cortes-Acosta · Apr 23

KOvs Derrick Lewis · Jul 23

KOvs Junior Tafa · Feb 24

latest

Gadzhimurad AntigulovL4 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Joachim Christensen · May 17

KOvs Ion Cutelaba · Jul 18

KOvs Michal Oleksiejczuk · Apr 19

SUBvs Paul Craig · Jul 20

KOvs Maxim Grishin · Oct 20

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Marcos Rogerio de LimaMetricGadzhimurad Antigulov

3.70

Strikes / min

2.08

2.90

Strikes absorbed / min

4.21

51%

Strike defense

40%

1.40

TDs / 15 min

5.08

59%

Takedown defense

0.50

Sub atts / 15 min

1.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.80Δ 2.93 — meaningful gap-2.13

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Marcos Rogerio de LimaGadzhimurad Antigulov

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Marcos Rogerio de Lima(10 fights)Gadzhimurad Antigulov(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +116.0|Blue -116.0

Recent Form

Red +0.5|Blue -0.5

Striker Score

Red -49.3|Blue +49.3

Grappler Score

Red -50.0|Blue +50.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Marcos Rogerio de LimaTargetGadzhimurad Antigulov

By target zone

33% acc · 100%

Head

0% acc

Body

Leg

By position

0% acc

Distance

0% acc

100% acc · 100%

Clinch

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Marcos Rogerio de Lima rounds

even

Gadzhimurad Antigulov rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes2

Takedowns0

Control0:21

0Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:29Control

Fight Stats

Totals

2 / 6

Sig Strikes

0 / 4

33%

Sig Str %

11 / 15

Total Strikes

0 / 4

0 / 0

TDs

1 / 1

—

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

0:21

Ctrl Time

0:29

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Gadzhimurad Antigulov	0 / 4	0 / 4	1 / 1	1
1	Marcos Rogerio de Lima	2 / 6	11 / 15	0 / 0	0

Marcos Rogerio de Lima

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights17

Gadzhimurad Antigulov

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights6