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Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Ante Delija won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1495
Marcin Tybura
Elo1481
Ante Delija

Marcin TyburavsAnte DelijaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · Saturday, September 6, 2025Paris, Ile-de-France, France

Official fight result

Ante Delija won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 2:03

Style matchupMarcin Tybura: Well-roundedvsAnte Delija: Pressure fighter

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Ante Delija wins(50.6%)

Actual result: Ante Delija wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Ante Delija at -102 American odds

+$98 profit

$198 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Ante Delija is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Marcin Tybura has lost 50% of fights by KO.

Tale of the Tape

Marcin Tybura
Red Corner
VS
Ante Delija
Blue Corner
-116
(54%)
Vegas Odds
-102
(50%)
1495
Elo
1481
40
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'3"
198.12 cm
Reach
198.12 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Marcin Tybura
oldest →
W
SUBvs Tai Tuivasa · Mar 24
L
SUBvs Serghei Spivac · Aug 24
W
KOvs Jhonata Diniz · Nov 24
W
vs Mick Parkin · Mar 25
L
vs Tyrell Fortune · Mar 26
latest
Ante DelijaL2 streak
oldest →
L
KOvs Waldo Cortes Acosta · Nov 25
L
vs Serghei Spivac · Feb 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Marcin TyburaMetricAnte Delija
3.56
Strikes / min
4.28
3.26
Strikes absorbed / min
3.95
55%
Strike defense
52%
1.30
TDs / 15 min
0.00
70%
Takedown defense
75%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.30evenly matched on net striking+0.33

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1579 vs 1500Strikes3.6 vs 4.3Takedowns1.3 vs 0.0Sub Atts0.10 vs 0.00Form0.5 vs 0.0
Marcin TyburaAnte Delija

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14701485150015151530← oldermost recent →
Marcin Tybura(10 fights)Ante Delija(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +14.7|Blue -14.7
Recent Form
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Striker Score
Red -48.8|Blue +48.8
Grappler Score
Red -49.7|Blue +49.7
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Marcin TyburaTargetAnte Delija

By target zone

1
20% acc · 25%
Head
13
46% acc · 100%
3
75% acc · 75%
Body
0
0
Leg
0

By position

2
29% acc · 50%
Distance
9
39% acc · 69%
2
100% acc · 50%
Clinch
0
0
Ground
4
80% acc · 31%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Marcin Tybura rounds
0
even
1
Ante Delija rounds
Round 1Ante Delija edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns0
Control1:18
Knockdowns0
13Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:08Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
1
4 / 9
Sig Strikes
13 / 28
44%
Sig Str %
46%
8 / 15
Total Strikes
15 / 30
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 0
TD %
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
1:18
Ctrl Time
0:08

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Ante Delija13 / 2815 / 300 / 00
1Marcin Tybura4 / 98 / 150 / 00

Marcin Tybura

StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights24

Ante Delija

StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights3