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Welterweight
3 Rounds
Hyun Gyu Lim won · KO/TKO R2
Elo1490
Elo1362

Marcelo GuimaraesvsHyun Gyu LimUFC Prediction Result

UFC on FUEL TV: Silva vs. Stann · Saturday, March 2, 2013Saitama, Japan

Official fight result

Hyun Gyu Lim won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 4:00

Style matchupMarcelo Guimaraes: Pressure fightervsHyun Gyu Lim: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Marcelo Guimaraes wins(66.8%)

Actual result: Hyun Gyu Lim wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Marcelo Guimaraes at +248 American odds

$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Hyun Gyu Lim enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Hyun Gyu Lim is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Marcelo Guimaraes has lost 100% of fights by KO.
  • Marcelo Guimaraes has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Hyun Gyu Lim has 73pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Hyun Gyu Lim has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Marcelo Guimaraes
Red Corner
VS
Hyun Gyu Lim
Blue Corner
+248
(29%)
Vegas Odds
-270
(73%)
1490
Elo
1362
43
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
6'3"
185.42 cm
Reach
195.58 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Marcelo Guimaraes
oldest →
W
vs Dan Stittgen · Jul 12
W
vs Andy Enz · Jun 14
L
KOvs Vitor Miranda · Mar 16
latest
Hyun Gyu LimL3 streak
oldest →
L
vs Tarec Saffiedine · Jan 14
W
KOvs Takenori Sato · Sep 14
L
KOvs Neil Magny · May 15
L
KOvs Mike Perry · Aug 16
L
vs Daichi Abe · Sep 17
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Marcelo GuimaraesMetricHyun Gyu Lim
4.67
Strikes / min
4.45
4.41
Strikes absorbed / min
5.07
62%
Strike defense
51%
1.99
TDs / 15 min
0.23
0%
Takedown defense
73%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.26evenly matched on net striking-0.62

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1518 vs 1500Strikes63.0 vs Takedowns0.0 vs Sub Atts0.00 vs Form1.0 vs 0.0
Marcelo GuimaraesHyun Gyu Lim

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801488149515031510← oldermost recent →
Marcelo Guimaraes(4 fights)Hyun Gyu Lim(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +128.6|Blue -128.6
Recent Form
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Grappler Score
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Marcelo GuimaraesTargetHyun Gyu Lim

By target zone

21
32% acc · 45%
Head
41
38% acc · 66%
9
82% acc · 19%
Body
10
71% acc · 16%
17
77% acc · 36%
Leg
11
100% acc · 18%

By position

47
48% acc · 100%
Distance
60
45% acc · 97%
0
Clinch
0
0
0% acc
Ground
2
100% acc · 3%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Marcelo Guimaraes rounds
0
even
2
Hyun Gyu Lim rounds
Round 1Hyun Gyu Lim edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns1
Control0:22
31Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Hyun Gyu Lim edged it
Sig. strikes27
Takedowns1
Control0:42
Knockdowns0
31Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:02Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
1
47 / 99
Sig Strikes
62 / 134
46.5%
Sig Str %
46.5%
53 / 116
Total Strikes
63 / 135
2 / 12
TDs
0 / 0
18.5%
TD %
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
1:04
Ctrl Time
0:02

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Hyun Gyu Lim31 / 7232 / 730 / 00
1Marcelo Guimaraes20 / 4822 / 601 / 80
2Hyun Gyu Lim31 / 6231 / 620 / 00
2Marcelo Guimaraes27 / 5131 / 561 / 40

Marcelo Guimaraes

StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights4

Hyun Gyu Lim

StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights7