Middleweight

3 Rounds

Marcelo Guimaraes won · S-DEC R3

Elo1490

Elo1354

Marcelo GuimaraesvsAndy EnzUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Te Huna vs Marquardt · Saturday, June 28, 2014San Antonio, Texas, USA

Official fight result

Marcelo Guimaraes won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupMarcelo Guimaraes: Pressure fightervsAndy Enz: Striker

The pressure fighter will force exchanges. The cleaner striker needs lateral movement.

Model Prediction: Andy Enz wins(55.8%)

Actual result: Marcelo Guimaraes wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Andy Enz at -200 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Andy Enz has 58pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Andy Enz has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Marcelo Guimaraes

Red Corner

Andy Enz

Blue Corner

+170

(37%)

Vegas Odds

-200

(67%)

1490

Elo

1354

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'0"

Height

6'3"

185.42 cm

Reach

198.12 cm

Recent Form

Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Marcelo GuimaraesL2 streak

oldest →

vs Dan Stittgen · Jul 12

KOvs Hyun Gyu Lim · Mar 13

KOvs Vitor Miranda · Mar 16

latest

Andy EnzL2 streak

oldest →

vs Clint Hester · Feb 14

KOvs Thiago Santos · Jan 15

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Marcelo GuimaraesMetricAndy Enz

4.67

Strikes / min

3.51

4.41

Strikes absorbed / min

5.32

62%

Strike defense

57%

1.99

TDs / 15 min

0.00

Takedown defense

58%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.26Δ 2.07 — meaningful gap-1.81

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Marcelo GuimaraesAndy Enz

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Marcelo Guimaraes(4 fights)Andy Enz(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +136.3|Blue -136.3

Recent Form

Red +0.7|Blue -0.7

Striker Score

Red +2.1|Blue -2.1

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red +336.0|Blue -336.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Marcelo GuimaraesTargetAndy Enz

By target zone

25% acc · 32%

Head

14% acc · 67%

63% acc · 19%

Body

38% acc · 12%

88% acc · 49%

Leg

90% acc · 21%

By position

46% acc · 90%

Distance

18% acc · 95%

57% acc · 10%

Clinch

67% acc · 5%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Marcelo Guimaraes rounds

even

Andy Enz rounds

Round 1Marcelo Guimaraes edged it

Sig. strikes19

Takedowns1

Control1:26

15Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Marcelo Guimaraes edged it

Sig. strikes30

Takedowns1

Control0:19

15Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Marcelo Guimaraes edged it

Sig. strikes29

Takedowns1

Control1:14

12Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

78 / 166

Sig Strikes

42 / 229

47.7%

Sig Str %

18.3%

85 / 174

Total Strikes

51 / 239

3 / 9

TDs

0 / 0

36%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

2:59

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Andy Enz	15 / 62	17 / 64	0 / 0
1	Marcelo Guimaraes	19 / 37	25 / 43	1 / 4
2	Andy Enz	15 / 89	17 / 91	0 / 0
2	Marcelo Guimaraes	30 / 73	31 / 74	1 / 2
3	Andy Enz	12 / 78	17 / 84	0 / 0
3	Marcelo Guimaraes	29 / 56	29 / 57	1 / 3

Marcelo Guimaraes

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights4

Andy Enz

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach78.0"

Fights3