Lightweight

3 Rounds

Marc Diakiese won · U-DEC R3

Elo1500

Elo1471

Marc DiakiesevsViacheslav BorshchevUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus · Saturday, March 26, 2022Columbus, Ohio, USA

Official fight result

Marc Diakiese won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupMarc Diakiese: WrestlervsViacheslav Borshchev: Pressure fighter

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Viacheslav Borshchev wins(66.0%)

Actual result: Marc Diakiese wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Viacheslav Borshchev at -135 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Viacheslav Borshchev enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Marc Diakiese has 23pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Marc Diakiese has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Marc Diakiese

Red Corner

Viacheslav Borshchev

Blue Corner

+115

(47%)

Vegas Odds

-135

(57%)

1500

Elo

1471

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'10"

Height

5'11"

185.42 cm

Reach

175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Marc Diakiese

oldest →

SUBvs Rafael Alves · Nov 21

vs Damir Hadzovic · Jul 22

vs Michael Johnson · Dec 22

SUBvs Joel Alvarez · Jul 23

vs Kaue Fernandes · Nov 23

latest

Viacheslav BorshchevL3 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Chase Hooper · May 24

vs James Llontop · Aug 24

vs Tom Nolan · Feb 25

SUBvs Terrance McKinney · Jun 25

vs Matheus Camilo · Nov 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Marc DiakieseMetricViacheslav Borshchev

2.54

Strikes / min

5.10

2.64

Strikes absorbed / min

4.46

52%

Strike defense

57%

3.29

TDs / 15 min

0.00

66%

Takedown defense

43%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.10evenly matched on net striking+0.64

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Marc DiakieseViacheslav Borshchev

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Marc Diakiese(10 fights)Viacheslav Borshchev(9 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +28.3|Blue -28.3

Recent Form

Red -1.7|Blue +1.7

Striker Score

Red +0.7|Blue -0.7

Grappler Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Layoff

Red +63.0|Blue -63.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Marc DiakieseTargetViacheslav Borshchev

By target zone

75% acc · 35%

Head

40% acc · 50%

Body

100% acc · 25%

92% acc · 65%

Leg

100% acc · 25%

By position

67% acc · 24%

Distance

50% acc · 50%

100% acc · 29%

Clinch

50% acc · 25%

89% acc · 47%

Ground

100% acc · 25%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Marc Diakiese rounds

even

Viacheslav Borshchev rounds

Round 1Marc Diakiese edged it

Sig. strikes4

Takedowns3

Control3:55

5Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:35Control

Round 2Marc Diakiese edged it

Sig. strikes9

Takedowns3

Control4:08

5Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Marc Diakiese edged it

Sig. strikes4

Takedowns5

Control4:21

2Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

17 / 20

Sig Strikes

12 / 21

87%

Sig Str %

59.3%

40 / 50

Total Strikes

32 / 44

11 / 18

TDs

0 / 0

61.7%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

12:24

Ctrl Time

0:35

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Viacheslav Borshchev	5 / 11	11 / 19	0 / 0
1	Marc Diakiese	4 / 4	9 / 10	3 / 7
2	Viacheslav Borshchev	5 / 6	7 / 8	0 / 0
2	Marc Diakiese	9 / 11	21 / 25	3 / 5
3	Viacheslav Borshchev	2 / 4	14 / 17	0 / 0
3	Marc Diakiese	4 / 5	10 / 15	5 / 6

Marc Diakiese

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights14

Viacheslav Borshchev

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights9