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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Marc-Andre Barriault won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1478

Elo1385

Marc-Andre BarriaultvsOskar PiechotaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Volkov · Saturday, June 20, 2020Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Marc-Andre Barriault won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 4:50

Model Prediction: Oskar Piechota wins(56.4%)

Actual result: Marc-Andre Barriault wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Oskar Piechota at -120 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Oskar Piechota enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Marc-Andre Barriault is a KO finisher (57% of wins). Oskar Piechota has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Marc-Andre Barriault has 30pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Oskar Piechota (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Marc-Andre Barriault

Red Corner

Oskar Piechota

Blue Corner

+100

(50%)

Vegas Odds

-120

(55%)

1478

Elo

1385

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

6'1"

Height

6'0"

187.96 cm

Reach

193.04 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Marc-Andre BarriaultL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Joe Pyfer · Jun 24

KOvs Dustin Stoltzfus · Nov 24

KOvs Bruno Silva · May 25

vs Shara Magomedov · Jul 25

vs Michal Oleksiejczuk · Feb 26

latest

Oskar PiechotaL3 streak

oldest →

vs Jonathan Wilson · Oct 17

KOvs Tim Williams · Feb 18

SUBvs Gerald Meerschaert · Jul 18

SUBvs Rodolfo Vieira · Aug 19

KOvs Punahele Soriano · Dec 19

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Marc-Andre BarriaultMetricOskar Piechota

5.65

Strikes / min

3.30

5.94

Strikes absorbed / min

3.93

49%

Strike defense

51%

0.34

TDs / 15 min

0.61

68%

Takedown defense

38%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

1.50

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.29evenly matched on net striking-0.63

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Marc-Andre BarriaultOskar Piechota

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Marc-Andre Barriault(10 fights)Oskar Piechota(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +92.5|Blue -92.5

Recent Form

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Striker Score

Red -1.2|Blue +1.2

Grappler Score

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Layoff

Red -7.0|Blue +7.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Marc-Andre BarriaultTargetOskar Piechota

By target zone

50% acc · 82%

Head

38% acc · 73%

71% acc · 7%

Body

88% acc · 19%

89% acc · 11%

Leg

75% acc · 8%

By position

41% acc · 50%

Distance

41% acc · 89%

79% acc · 31%

Clinch

100% acc · 11%

78% acc · 19%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Marc-Andre Barriault rounds

even

Oskar Piechota rounds

Round 1Marc-Andre Barriault edged it

Sig. strikes27

Takedowns0

Control0:11

20Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:07Control

Round 2Marc-Andre Barriault edged it

Sig. strikes47

Takedowns1

Control1:34

Knockdowns1

17Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

74 / 137

Sig Strikes

37 / 84

52.5%

Sig Str %

43.5%

74 / 137

Total Strikes

38 / 85

1 / 1

TDs

0 / 1

100%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

1:45

Ctrl Time

0:07

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Oskar Piechota	20 / 47	21 / 48	0 / 1
1	Marc-Andre Barriault	27 / 62	27 / 62	0 / 0
2	Oskar Piechota	17 / 37	17 / 37	0 / 0
2	Marc-Andre Barriault	47 / 75	47 / 75	1 / 1

Marc-Andre Barriault

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights17

Oskar Piechota

StanceSouthpaw

Height72.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights6