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Middleweight
3 Rounds
Krzystof Jotko won · Decision R3
Elo1478
Marc-Andre Barriault
Elo1492

Marc-Andre BarriaultvsKrzystof JotkoUFC Prediction Result

UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar · Saturday, July 27, 2019Edmonton, Alberta, Canada

Official fight result

Krzystof Jotko won

Decision · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Krzystof Jotko wins(51.6%)

Actual result: Krzystof Jotko wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Krzystof Jotko at -165 American odds

+$61 profit

$161 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Stance matchup historically favors Krzystof Jotko (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Marc-Andre Barriault
Red Corner
VS
Krzystof Jotko
Blue Corner
+145
(41%)
Vegas Odds
-165
(62%)
1478
Elo
1492
36
Age
29
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'1"
Height
6'1"
187.96 cm
Reach
195.58 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Marc-Andre BarriaultL2 streak
oldest →
L
KOvs Joe Pyfer · Jun 24
L
KOvs Dustin Stoltzfus · Nov 24
W
KOvs Bruno Silva · May 25
L
vs Shara Magomedov · Jul 25
L
vs Michal Oleksiejczuk · Feb 26
latest
Krzystof JotkoNo prior UFC fights on record.

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Marc-Andre BarriaultMetricKrzystof Jotko
5.65
Strikes / min
—
5.94
Strikes absorbed / min
—
49%
Strike defense
—
0.34
TDs / 15 min
—
68%
Takedown defense
—
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
—

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1482 vs 1500Strikes3.5 vs 2.8Takedowns0.3 vs 1.4Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.10Form-1.0 vs 0.0
Marc-Andre BarriaultKrzystof Jotko

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14601475149015051520← oldermost recent →
Marc-Andre Barriault(10 fights)Krzystof Jotko(1 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -14.0|Blue +14.0
Recent Form
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Striker Score
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Grappler Score
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Marc-Andre Barriault

StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights17

Krzystof Jotko

No profile data.