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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Marc-Andre Barriault won · U-DEC R3

Elo1478

Elo1512

Marc-Andre BarriaultvsEryk AndersUFC Prediction Result

UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana · Saturday, June 10, 2023Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada

Official fight result

Marc-Andre Barriault won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupMarc-Andre Barriault: Pressure fightervsEryk Anders: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Marc-Andre Barriault wins(68.4%)

Actual result: Marc-Andre Barriault wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Marc-Andre Barriault at -158 American odds

+$63 profit

$163 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Stance matchup historically favors Eryk Anders (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Marc-Andre Barriault

Red Corner

Eryk Anders

Blue Corner

-158

(61%)

Vegas Odds

+134

(43%)

1478

Elo

1512

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

6'1"

Height

6'1"

187.96 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Marc-Andre BarriaultL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Joe Pyfer · Jun 24

KOvs Dustin Stoltzfus · Nov 24

KOvs Bruno Silva · May 25

vs Shara Magomedov · Jul 25

vs Michal Oleksiejczuk · Feb 26

latest

Eryk Anders

oldest →

KOvs Kyle Daukaus · Dec 22

vs Jamie Pickett · Mar 24

KOvs Chris Weidman · Dec 24

KOvs Christian Leroy Duncan · Aug 25

vs Brad Tavares · Mar 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Marc-Andre BarriaultMetricEryk Anders

5.65

Strikes / min

3.44

5.94

Strikes absorbed / min

4.03

49%

Strike defense

50%

0.34

TDs / 15 min

1.83

68%

Takedown defense

80%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.29evenly matched on net striking-0.59

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Marc-Andre BarriaultEryk Anders

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Marc-Andre Barriault(10 fights)Eryk Anders(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -34.2|Blue +34.2

Recent Form

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Striker Score

Red -1.0|Blue +1.0

Grappler Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Layoff

Red -91.0|Blue +91.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Marc-Andre BarriaultTargetEryk Anders

By target zone

42% acc · 65%

Head

34% acc · 51%

74% acc · 34%

Body

87% acc · 47%

100% acc · 1%

Leg

100% acc · 2%

By position

44% acc · 71%

Distance

36% acc · 49%

74% acc · 27%

Clinch

81% acc · 51%

67% acc · 2%

Ground

0% acc

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Marc-Andre Barriault rounds

even

Eryk Anders rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes30

Takedowns0

Control0:40

Knockdowns1

37Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:40Control

0Knockdowns

Round 2Eryk Anders edged it

Sig. strikes24

Takedowns0

Control0:00

24Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:59Control

Round 3Marc-Andre Barriault edged it

Sig. strikes41

Takedowns0

Control0:00

22Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:39Control

Fight Stats

Totals

95 / 192

Sig Strikes

83 / 169

50%

Sig Str %

48.3%

103 / 200

Total Strikes

87 / 173

0 / 0

TDs

1 / 11

—

TD %

11%

Sub Att

Rev

0:40

Ctrl Time

3:18

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Eryk Anders	37 / 62	38 / 63	0 / 4
1	Marc-Andre Barriault	30 / 49	37 / 56	0 / 0
2	Eryk Anders	24 / 51	24 / 51	1 / 3
2	Marc-Andre Barriault	24 / 61	24 / 61	0 / 0
3	Eryk Anders	22 / 56	25 / 59	0 / 4
3	Marc-Andre Barriault	41 / 82	42 / 83	0 / 0

Marc-Andre Barriault

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights17

Eryk Anders

StanceSouthpaw

Height73.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights19