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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Marc-Andre Barriault won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1478

Elo1453

Marc-Andre BarriaultvsBruno SilvaUFC Prediction Result

UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · Saturday, May 10, 2025Montreal, Quebec, Canada

Official fight result

Marc-Andre Barriault won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 1:27

Style matchupMarc-Andre Barriault: Pressure fightervsBruno Silva: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Marc-Andre Barriault wins(63.2%)

Actual result: Marc-Andre Barriault wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Marc-Andre Barriault at -162 American odds

+$62 profit

$162 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Marc-Andre Barriault enters on a 5-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Marc-Andre Barriault

Red Corner

Bruno Silva

Blue Corner

-162

(62%)

Vegas Odds

+136

(42%)

1478

Elo

1453

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'1"

Height

6'0"

187.96 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Marc-Andre BarriaultL5 streak

oldest →

vs Chris Curtis · Jan 24

KOvs Joe Pyfer · Jun 24

KOvs Dustin Stoltzfus · Nov 24

vs Shara Magomedov · Jul 25

vs Michal Oleksiejczuk · Feb 26

latest

Bruno SilvaL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Manel Kape · Dec 24

KOvs Joshua Van · Jun 25

SUBvs HyunSung Park · Oct 25

vs Charles Johnson · Mar 26

SUBvs Edgar Chairez · Jun 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Marc-Andre BarriaultMetricBruno Silva

5.65

Strikes / min

3.86

5.94

Strikes absorbed / min

5.35

49%

Strike defense

41%

0.34

TDs / 15 min

0.77

68%

Takedown defense

74%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.29Δ 1.20 — meaningful gap-1.49

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Marc-Andre BarriaultBruno Silva

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Marc-Andre Barriault(10 fights)Bruno Silva(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +24.6|Blue -24.6

Recent Form

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Striker Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red +42.0|Blue -42.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Marc-Andre BarriaultTargetBruno Silva

By target zone

58% acc · 79%

Head

40% acc · 67%

75% acc · 21%

Body

100% acc · 33%

0% acc

Leg

By position

40% acc · 29%

Distance

17% acc · 17%

70% acc · 50%

Clinch

100% acc · 83%

75% acc · 21%

Ground

0% acc

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Marc-Andre Barriault rounds

even

Bruno Silva rounds

Round 1Marc-Andre Barriault edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns0

Control0:18

Knockdowns1

6Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

14 / 24

Sig Strikes

6 / 12

58%

Sig Str %

50%

14 / 24

Total Strikes

6 / 12

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 1

—

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:18

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Bruno Silva	6 / 12	6 / 12	0 / 1	0
1	Marc-Andre Barriault	14 / 24	14 / 24	0 / 0	0

Marc-Andre Barriault

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights17

Bruno Silva

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights23