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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Marc-Andre Barriault won · KO/TKO

Elo1478

Elo1480

Marc-Andre BarriaultvsAbu AzaitarUFC Prediction Result

UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou · Saturday, March 27, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Marc-Andre Barriault won

KO/TKO

Style matchupMarc-Andre Barriault: Pressure fightervsAbu Azaitar: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Abu Azaitar wins(62.1%)

Actual result: Marc-Andre Barriault wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Abu Azaitar at +107 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Marc-Andre Barriault is a KO finisher (57% of wins). Abu Azaitar has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Marc-Andre Barriault has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Marc-Andre Barriault

Red Corner

Abu Azaitar

Blue Corner

-127

(56%)

Vegas Odds

+107

(48%)

1478

Elo

1480

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'1"

Height

5'9"

187.96 cm

Reach

193.04 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Marc-Andre BarriaultL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Joe Pyfer · Jun 24

KOvs Dustin Stoltzfus · Nov 24

KOvs Bruno Silva · May 25

vs Shara Magomedov · Jul 25

vs Michal Oleksiejczuk · Feb 26

latest

Abu Azaitar

oldest →

vs Vitor Miranda · Jul 18

vs Sedriques Dumas · Oct 23

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Marc-Andre BarriaultMetricAbu Azaitar

5.65

Strikes / min

4.38

5.94

Strikes absorbed / min

4.32

49%

Strike defense

51%

0.34

TDs / 15 min

1.00

68%

Takedown defense

42%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.29evenly matched on net striking+0.06

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Marc-Andre BarriaultAbu Azaitar

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Marc-Andre Barriault(10 fights)Abu Azaitar(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -2.7|Blue +2.7

Recent Form

Red -1.1|Blue +1.1

Striker Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red -699.0|Blue +699.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Marc-Andre BarriaultTargetAbu Azaitar

By target zone

126

49% acc · 89%

Head

33% acc · 42%

82% acc · 6%

Body

74% acc · 44%

86% acc · 4%

Leg

94% acc · 14%

By position

43% acc · 59%

Distance

44% acc · 76%

68% acc · 11%

Clinch

79% acc · 24%

70% acc · 30%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Marc-Andre Barriault rounds

even

Abu Azaitar rounds

Round 1Abu Azaitar edged it

Sig. strikes22

Takedowns0

Control1:10

46Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:20Control

Round 2Marc-Andre Barriault edged it

Sig. strikes60

Takedowns0

Control0:43

55Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:43Control

Round 3Marc-Andre Barriault edged it

Sig. strikes59

Takedowns0

Control4:07

Knockdowns1

7Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

141 / 275

Sig Strikes

108 / 219

50.3%

Sig Str %

45.3%

190 / 339

Total Strikes

142 / 261

0 / 1

TDs

0 / 3

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

6:00

Ctrl Time

2:03

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Abu Azaitar	46 / 87	66 / 108	0 / 0
1	Marc-Andre Barriault	22 / 47	34 / 59	0 / 0
2	Abu Azaitar	55 / 112	61 / 119	0 / 2
2	Marc-Andre Barriault	60 / 128	66 / 134	0 / 1
3	Abu Azaitar	7 / 20	15 / 34	0 / 1
3	Marc-Andre Barriault	59 / 100	90 / 146	0 / 0

Marc-Andre Barriault

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights17

Abu Azaitar

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights3