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Women's Flyweight

3 Rounds

Mara Romero Borella won · SUB R1

Elo1389

Elo1367

Mara Romero BorellavsKalindra FariaUFC Prediction Result

UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee · Saturday, October 7, 2017Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Mara Romero Borella won

SUB · Round 1 · 2:54

Model Prediction: Mara Romero Borella wins(50.4%)

Actual result: Mara Romero Borella wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Mara Romero Borella at +215 American odds

+$215 profit

$315 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Mara Romero Borella enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Mara Romero Borella threatens submissions; Kalindra Faria has lost 67% of fights by sub.
Mara Romero Borella has 26pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Mara Romero Borella has 46pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Kalindra Faria (52.9%).
Mara Romero Borella has a 18cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Mara Romero Borella

Red Corner

Kalindra Faria

Blue Corner

+215

(32%)

Vegas Odds

-255

(72%)

1389

Elo

1367

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Switch

5'6"

Height

5'7"

175.26 cm

Reach

157 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Mara Romero BorellaL4 streak

oldest →

vs Taila Santos · Feb 19

KOvs Lauren Murphy · Aug 19

vs Montana De La Rosa · Feb 20

SUBvs Cortney Casey · May 20

SUBvs Mayra Bueno Silva · Sep 20

latest

Kalindra FariaL2 streak

oldest →

vs Jessica Eye · Jan 18

SUBvs Joanne Calderwood · Aug 18

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Mara Romero BorellaMetricKalindra Faria

2.54

Strikes / min

2.23

2.48

Strikes absorbed / min

1.44

71%

Strike defense

45%

1.83

TDs / 15 min

1.31

66%

Takedown defense

20%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.70

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.06evenly matched on net striking+0.79

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Mara Romero Borella(8 fights)Kalindra Faria(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +21.7|Blue -21.7

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Mara Romero BorellaTargetKalindra Faria

By target zone

50% acc · 67%

Head

0% acc

Body

100% acc · 33%

Leg

0% acc

By position

33% acc · 33%

Distance

0% acc

Clinch

100% acc · 67%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Mara Romero Borella rounds

even

Kalindra Faria rounds

Round 1Mara Romero Borella edged it

Sig. strikes3

Takedowns1

Control2:41

0Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

3 / 5

Sig Strikes

0 / 4

60%

Sig Str %

16 / 18

Total Strikes

0 / 4

1 / 1

TDs

0 / 0

100%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

2:41

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Kalindra Faria	0 / 4	0 / 4	0 / 0	0
1	Mara Romero Borella	3 / 5	16 / 18	1 / 1	1

Mara Romero Borella

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights8

Kalindra Faria

StanceSwitch

Height67.0"

Reach—

Fights3