Featherweight

3 Rounds

Manvel Gamburyan won · U-DEC R3

Elo1358

Elo1359

Manvel GamburyanvsCole MillerUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Sonnen · Saturday, August 17, 2013Boston, Massachusetts, USA

Official fight result

Manvel Gamburyan won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Cole Miller wins(52.9%)

Actual result: Manvel Gamburyan wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Cole Miller at +130 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Cole Miller enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Manvel Gamburyan has 31pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Cole Miller has a 15cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Manvel Gamburyan

Red Corner

Cole Miller

Blue Corner

-140

(58%)

Vegas Odds

+130

(43%)

1358

Elo

1359

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'5"

Height

6'1"

170.18 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Manvel GamburyanL2 streak

oldest →

vs Nik Lentz · May 14

SUBvs Cody Gibson · Sep 14

vs Scott Jorgensen · Jul 15

KOvs John Dodson · Apr 16

KOvs Johnny Eduardo · Nov 16

latest

Cole MillerL3 streak

oldest →

vs Andy Ogle · Oct 13

SUBvs Sam Sicilia · Jan 14

vs Max Holloway · Feb 15

vs Alex Caceres · Jun 16

vs Mizuto Hirota · Dec 16

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Manvel GamburyanMetricCole Miller

2.13

Strikes / min

3.00

2.83

Strikes absorbed / min

3.88

55%

Strike defense

59%

3.26

TDs / 15 min

0.60

69%

Takedown defense

38%

0.70

Sub atts / 15 min

1.80

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.70evenly matched on net striking-0.88

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Manvel GamburyanCole Miller

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Manvel Gamburyan(9 fights)Cole Miller(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Recent Form

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Striker Score

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Grappler Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Layoff

Red +252.0|Blue -252.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Manvel GamburyanTargetCole Miller

By target zone

27% acc · 52%

Head

27% acc · 88%

43% acc · 13%

Body

57% acc · 13%

80% acc · 35%

Leg

By position

32% acc · 65%

Distance

22% acc · 69%

50% acc · 9%

Clinch

89% acc · 25%

55% acc · 26%

Ground

100% acc · 6%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Manvel Gamburyan rounds

even

Cole Miller rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns1

Control1:28

11Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Manvel Gamburyan edged it

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns3

Control3:15

14Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:06Control

Round 3Manvel Gamburyan edged it

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns1

Control3:09

7Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

23 / 62

Sig Strikes

32 / 112

37.3%

Sig Str %

28.7%

84 / 126

Total Strikes

94 / 175

5 / 7

TDs

0 / 0

86.7%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

7:52

Ctrl Time

0:06

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Cole Miller	11 / 48	16 / 53	0 / 0
1	Manvel Gamburyan	6 / 23	11 / 28	1 / 1
2	Cole Miller	14 / 33	23 / 42	0 / 0
2	Manvel Gamburyan	6 / 14	31 / 39	3 / 5
3	Cole Miller	7 / 31	55 / 80	0 / 0
3	Manvel Gamburyan	11 / 25	42 / 59	1 / 1

Manvel Gamburyan

StanceOrthodox

Height65.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights9

Cole Miller

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights12