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Middleweight
3 Rounds
Mansur Abdul-Malik won · KO/TKO R2
Elo1518
Mansur Abdul-Malik editorial illustration
Elo1474

Mansur Abdul-MalikvsNick KleinUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · Saturday, February 22, 2025Seattle, Washington, USA

Official fight result

Mansur Abdul-Malik won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 3:24

Style matchupMansur Abdul-Malik: Well-roundedvsNick Klein: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Mansur Abdul-Malik wins(56.9%)

Actual result: Mansur Abdul-Malik wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Mansur Abdul-Malik at -1350 American odds

+$7 profit

$107 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Mansur Abdul-Malik is a KO finisher (67% of wins). Nick Klein has lost 100% of fights by KO.
  • Mansur Abdul-Malik has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Mansur Abdul-Malik
Red Corner
VS
Nick Klein
Blue Corner
-1350
(93%)
Vegas Odds
+810
(11%)
1518
Elo
1474
28
Age
30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'1"
203.2 cm
Reach
195.58 cm

Recent Form

Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Mansur Abdul-Malik
oldest →
W
KOvs Dusko Todorovic · Nov 24
D
vs Cody Brundage · Jun 25
W
SUBvs Antonio Trocoli · Dec 25
L
KOvs Yousri Belgaroui · Mar 26
latest
Nick Klein
oldest →
L
KOvs Andrey Pulyaev · Aug 25
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Mansur Abdul-MalikMetricNick Klein
3.28
Strikes / min
2.51
4.49
Strikes absorbed / min
3.41
46%
Strike defense
39%
1.65
TDs / 15 min
5.79
83%
Takedown defense
66%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
1.90
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.21evenly matched on net striking-0.90

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1517 vs 1500Strikes3.3 vs 2.5Takedowns1.6 vs 5.8Sub Atts0.30 vs 1.90Form1.0 vs 0.0
Mansur Abdul-MalikNick Klein

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14601483150515281550← oldermost recent →
Mansur Abdul-Malik(5 fights)Nick Klein(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +44.1|Blue -44.1
Recent Form
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score
Red -49.4|Blue +49.4
Grappler Score
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Mansur Abdul-MalikTargetNick Klein

By target zone

28
53% acc · 97%
Head
5
28% acc · 18%
1
100% acc · 3%
Body
2
40% acc · 7%
0
Leg
21
91% acc · 75%

By position

6
30% acc · 21%
Distance
26
60% acc · 93%
12
63% acc · 41%
Clinch
2
67% acc · 7%
11
73% acc · 38%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Mansur Abdul-Malik rounds
0
even
1
Nick Klein rounds
Round 1Nick Klein edged it
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns0
Control0:08
16Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:55Control
Round 2Mansur Abdul-Malik edged it
Sig. strikes28
Takedowns1
Control0:27
12Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:06Control

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
29 / 54
Sig Strikes
28 / 46
36%
Sig Str %
60.5%
32 / 58
Total Strikes
50 / 70
1 / 3
TDs
1 / 9
25%
TD %
8%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:35
Ctrl Time
3:01

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Nick Klein16 / 2637 / 491 / 60
1Mansur Abdul-Malik1 / 81 / 80 / 10
2Nick Klein12 / 2013 / 210 / 30
2Mansur Abdul-Malik28 / 4631 / 501 / 20

Mansur Abdul-Malik

StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights5

Nick Klein

StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights2