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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Mansur Abdul-Malik won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1518

Mansur Abdul-Malik editorial illustration

Elo1494

Mansur Abdul-MalikvsDusko TodorovicUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · Saturday, November 9, 2024Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Mansur Abdul-Malik won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 2:44

Style matchupMansur Abdul-Malik: Well-roundedvsDusko Todorovic: Pressure fighter

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Mansur Abdul-Malik wins(79.5%)

Actual result: Mansur Abdul-Malik wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Mansur Abdul-Malik at -485 American odds

+$21 profit

$121 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Mansur Abdul-Malik is a KO finisher (67% of wins). Dusko Todorovic has lost 67% of fights by KO.
Dusko Todorovic is a KO finisher (75% of wins). Mansur Abdul-Malik has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Mansur Abdul-Malik has 41pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Mansur Abdul-Malik has a 15cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Mansur Abdul-Malik

Red Corner

Dusko Todorovic

Blue Corner

-485

(83%)

Vegas Odds

+370

(21%)

1518

Elo

1494

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'2"

Height

6'1"

203.2 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Mansur Abdul-Malik

oldest →

KOvs Nick Klein · Feb 25

vs Cody Brundage · Jun 25

SUBvs Antonio Trocoli · Dec 25

KOvs Yousri Belgaroui · Mar 26

latest

Dusko Todorovic

oldest →

KOvs Chidi Njokuani · May 22

KOvs Jordan Wright · Oct 22

KOvs Christian Leroy Duncan · Mar 23

vs Zach Reese · May 25

SUBvs Jose Daniel Medina · Sep 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Mansur Abdul-MalikMetricDusko Todorovic

3.28

Strikes / min

4.73

4.49

Strikes absorbed / min

4.40

46%

Strike defense

48%

1.65

TDs / 15 min

1.77

83%

Takedown defense

42%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.21Δ 1.54 — meaningful gap+0.33

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Mansur Abdul-MalikDusko Todorovic

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Mansur Abdul-Malik(5 fights)Dusko Todorovic(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +23.4|Blue -23.4

Recent Form

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Striker Score

Red +49.4|Blue -49.4

Grappler Score

Red +49.9|Blue -49.9

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Mansur Abdul-MalikTargetDusko Todorovic

By target zone

55% acc · 93%

Head

50% acc · 67%

100% acc · 7%

Body

Leg

100% acc · 33%

By position

42% acc · 17%

Distance

60% acc · 100%

100% acc · 7%

Clinch

59% acc · 76%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Mansur Abdul-Malik rounds

even

Dusko Todorovic rounds

Round 1Mansur Abdul-Malik edged it

Sig. strikes29

Takedowns0

Control1:27

Knockdowns1

3Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:03Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

29 / 51

Sig Strikes

3 / 5

56%

Sig Str %

60%

31 / 54

Total Strikes

3 / 5

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

1:27

Ctrl Time

0:03

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Dusko Todorovic	3 / 5	3 / 5	0 / 0	0
1	Mansur Abdul-Malik	29 / 51	31 / 54	0 / 0	0

Mansur Abdul-Malik

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach80.0"

Fights5

Dusko Todorovic

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights10