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Women's Flyweight

3 Rounds

Manon Fiorot won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1522

Elo1492

Manon FiorotvsTabatha RicciUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai · Saturday, June 5, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Manon Fiorot won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 3:00

Style matchupManon Fiorot: Pressure fightervsTabatha Ricci: Wrestler

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Manon Fiorot wins(78.1%)

Actual result: Manon Fiorot wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Manon Fiorot at -165 American odds

+$61 profit

$161 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Manon Fiorot has 22pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Manon Fiorot has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Manon Fiorot

Red Corner

Tabatha Ricci

Blue Corner

-165

(62%)

Vegas Odds

+375

(21%)

1522

Elo

1492

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

5'1"

165.1 cm

Reach

154.94 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Manon Fiorot

oldest →

vs Katlyn Chookagian · Oct 22

vs Rose Namajunas · Sep 23

vs Erin Blanchfield · Mar 24

vs Valentina Shevchenko · May 25

KOvs Jasmine Jasudavicius · Oct 25

latest

Tabatha RicciL2 streak

oldest →

vs Angela Hill · Aug 24

vs Yan Xiaonan · Nov 24

KOvs Amanda Ribas · Jul 25

DECvs Virna Jandiroba · Apr 26

DECvs Fatima Kline · Jul 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Manon FiorotMetricTabatha Ricci

5.66

Strikes / min

4.00

3.58

Strikes absorbed / min

4.83

66%

Strike defense

57%

1.05

TDs / 15 min

2.51

87%

Takedown defense

65%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+2.08Δ 2.91 — meaningful gap-0.83

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Manon FiorotTabatha Ricci

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Manon Fiorot(9 fights)Tabatha Ricci(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +30.0|Blue -30.0

Recent Form

Red +1.0|Blue -1.0

Striker Score

Red -50.0|Blue +50.0

Grappler Score

Red -50.0|Blue +50.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Manon FiorotTargetTabatha Ricci

By target zone

44% acc · 81%

Head

9% acc · 35%

80% acc · 10%

Body

42% acc · 29%

100% acc · 10%

Leg

67% acc · 35%

By position

44% acc · 73%

Distance

18% acc · 94%

71% acc · 20%

Clinch

100% acc · 6%

75% acc · 7%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Manon Fiorot rounds

even

Tabatha Ricci rounds

Round 1Manon Fiorot edged it

Sig. strikes31

Takedowns0

Control0:00

11Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Manon Fiorot edged it

Sig. strikes53

Takedowns1

Control0:40

Knockdowns1

6Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

84 / 172

Sig Strikes

17 / 90

47.5%

Sig Str %

19.5%

85 / 173

Total Strikes

17 / 91

1 / 1

TDs

0 / 1

100%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:40

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Tabatha Ricci	11 / 63	11 / 63	0 / 1
1	Manon Fiorot	31 / 80	31 / 80	0 / 0
2	Tabatha Ricci	6 / 27	6 / 28	0 / 0
2	Manon Fiorot	53 / 92	54 / 93	1 / 1

Manon Fiorot

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach65.0"

Fights9

Tabatha Ricci

StanceOrthodox

Height61.0"

Reach61.0"

Fights12