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Women's Flyweight

3 Rounds

Manon Fiorot won · U-DEC R3

Elo1522

Elo1499

Manon FiorotvsRose NamajunasUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac · Saturday, September 2, 2023Paris, Ile-de-France, France

Official fight result

Manon Fiorot won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupManon Fiorot: Pressure fightervsRose Namajunas: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Manon Fiorot wins(61.6%)

Actual result: Manon Fiorot wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Manon Fiorot at -198 American odds

+$51 profit

$151 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Manon Fiorot has 25pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Manon Fiorot

Red Corner

Rose Namajunas

Blue Corner

-198

(66%)

Vegas Odds

+164

(38%)

1522

Elo

1499

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

5'5"

165.1 cm

Reach

165.1 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Manon Fiorot

oldest →

vs Jennifer Maia · Mar 22

vs Katlyn Chookagian · Oct 22

vs Erin Blanchfield · Mar 24

vs Valentina Shevchenko · May 25

KOvs Jasmine Jasudavicius · Oct 25

latest

Rose Namajunas

oldest →

vs Amanda Ribas · Mar 24

vs Tracy Cortez · Jul 24

vs Erin Blanchfield · Nov 24

vs Miranda Maverick · Jun 25

vs Natalia Silva · Jan 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Manon FiorotMetricRose Namajunas

5.66

Strikes / min

3.50

3.58

Strikes absorbed / min

3.38

66%

Strike defense

63%

1.05

TDs / 15 min

1.47

87%

Takedown defense

62%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+2.08Δ 1.96 — meaningful gap+0.12

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Manon FiorotRose Namajunas

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Manon Fiorot(9 fights)Rose Namajunas(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +23.1|Blue -23.1

Recent Form

Red +0.9|Blue -0.9

Striker Score

Red -1.1|Blue +1.1

Grappler Score

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Layoff

Red -168.0|Blue +168.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Manon FiorotTargetRose Namajunas

By target zone

20% acc · 67%

Head

30% acc · 53%

68% acc · 26%

Body

58% acc · 25%

67% acc · 7%

Leg

76% acc · 22%

By position

25% acc · 91%

Distance

40% acc · 98%

40% acc · 7%

Clinch

50% acc · 2%

100% acc · 2%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Manon Fiorot rounds

even

Rose Namajunas rounds

Round 1Rose Namajunas edged it

Sig. strikes18

Takedowns0

Control0:00

23Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Manon Fiorot edged it

Sig. strikes19

Takedowns0

Control0:24

15Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:12Control

Round 3Even round

Sig. strikes21

Takedowns0

Control0:00

22Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:13Control

Fight Stats

Totals

58 / 225

Sig Strikes

60 / 150

25.7%

Sig Str %

39.3%

62 / 232

Total Strikes

60 / 152

0 / 1

TDs

0 / 6

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:24

Ctrl Time

0:25

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Rose Namajunas	23 / 56	23 / 57	0 / 2
1	Manon Fiorot	18 / 88	18 / 89	0 / 0
2	Rose Namajunas	15 / 40	15 / 41	0 / 2
2	Manon Fiorot	19 / 69	23 / 75	0 / 1
3	Rose Namajunas	22 / 54	22 / 54	0 / 2
3	Manon Fiorot	21 / 68	21 / 68	0 / 0

Manon Fiorot

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach65.0"

Fights9

Rose Namajunas

StanceOrthodox

Height65.0"

Reach65.0"

Fights19