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Women's Flyweight

3 Rounds

Manon Fiorot won · U-DEC R3

Elo1522

Elo1453

Manon FiorotvsMayra Bueno SilvaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Ladd vs. Dumont · Saturday, October 16, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Manon Fiorot won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupManon Fiorot: Pressure fightervsMayra Bueno Silva: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Manon Fiorot wins(65.1%)

Actual result: Manon Fiorot wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Manon Fiorot at -320 American odds

+$31 profit

$131 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Mayra Bueno Silva enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
Manon Fiorot has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Manon Fiorot has 23pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Manon Fiorot

Red Corner

Mayra Bueno Silva

Blue Corner

-320

(76%)

Vegas Odds

+250

(29%)

1522

Elo

1453

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

5'6"

165.1 cm

Reach

167.64 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Manon Fiorot

oldest →

vs Katlyn Chookagian · Oct 22

vs Rose Namajunas · Sep 23

vs Erin Blanchfield · Mar 24

vs Valentina Shevchenko · May 25

KOvs Jasmine Jasudavicius · Oct 25

latest

Mayra Bueno SilvaL5 streak

oldest →

vs Raquel Pennington · Jan 24

KOvs Macy Chiasson · Jun 24

vs Jasmine Jasudavicius · Feb 25

vs Jacqueline Cavalcanti · Nov 25

DECvs Michelle Montague · Apr 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Manon FiorotMetricMayra Bueno Silva

5.66

Strikes / min

3.52

3.58

Strikes absorbed / min

4.71

66%

Strike defense

51%

1.05

TDs / 15 min

0.46

87%

Takedown defense

64%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

1.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+2.08Δ 3.27 — meaningful gap-1.19

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Manon FiorotMayra Bueno Silva

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Manon Fiorot(9 fights)Mayra Bueno Silva(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +69.0|Blue -69.0

Recent Form

Red +0.7|Blue -0.7

Striker Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red -259.0|Blue +259.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Manon FiorotTargetMayra Bueno Silva

By target zone

22% acc · 52%

Head

24% acc · 27%

88% acc · 41%

Body

66% acc · 44%

100% acc · 8%

Leg

58% acc · 29%

By position

32% acc · 87%

Distance

39% acc · 81%

50% acc · 4%

Clinch

78% acc · 15%

57% acc · 9%

Ground

100% acc · 4%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Manon Fiorot rounds

even

Mayra Bueno Silva rounds

Round 1Manon Fiorot edged it

Sig. strikes29

Takedowns1

Control0:30

17Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:03Control

Round 2Manon Fiorot edged it

Sig. strikes27

Takedowns0

Control1:16

18Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:01Control

Round 3Manon Fiorot edged it

Sig. strikes35

Takedowns1

Control2:19

13Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

91 / 267

Sig Strikes

48 / 111

34%

Sig Str %

43.7%

112 / 291

Total Strikes

92 / 156

2 / 6

TDs

0 / 0

44.3%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

4:05

Ctrl Time

0:04

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Mayra Bueno Silva	17 / 39	20 / 43	0 / 0
1	Manon Fiorot	29 / 99	30 / 102	1 / 1
2	Mayra Bueno Silva	18 / 45	56 / 83	0 / 0
2	Manon Fiorot	27 / 84	36 / 93	0 / 2
3	Mayra Bueno Silva	13 / 27	16 / 30	0 / 0
3	Manon Fiorot	35 / 84	46 / 96	1 / 3

Manon Fiorot

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach65.0"

Fights9

Mayra Bueno Silva

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights12