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Women's Flyweight

3 Rounds

Manon Fiorot won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1522

Elo1542

Jasmine Jasudavicius editorial illustration

Manon FiorotvsJasmine JasudaviciusUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · Saturday, October 18, 2025Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada

Official fight result

Manon Fiorot won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 1:14

Style matchupManon Fiorot: Pressure fightervsJasmine Jasudavicius: Wrestler

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Manon Fiorot wins(68.2%)

Actual result: Manon Fiorot wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Manon Fiorot at -230 American odds

+$43 profit

$143 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Jasmine Jasudavicius enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Manon Fiorot has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.

Tale of the Tape

Manon Fiorot

Red Corner

Jasmine Jasudavicius

Blue Corner

-230

(70%)

Vegas Odds

+190

(34%)

1522

Elo

1542

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

5'7"

165.1 cm

Reach

172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Manon Fiorot

oldest →

vs Jennifer Maia · Mar 22

vs Katlyn Chookagian · Oct 22

vs Rose Namajunas · Sep 23

vs Erin Blanchfield · Mar 24

vs Valentina Shevchenko · May 25

latest

Jasmine JasudaviciusW5 streak

oldest →

vs Fatima Kline · Jul 24

SUBvs Ariane da Silva · Nov 24

vs Mayra Bueno Silva · Feb 25

SUBvs Jessica Andrade · May 25

DECvs Karine Silva · Apr 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Manon FiorotMetricJasmine Jasudavicius

5.66

Strikes / min

3.47

3.58

Strikes absorbed / min

3.46

66%

Strike defense

51%

1.05

TDs / 15 min

2.63

87%

Takedown defense

75%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.50

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+2.08Δ 2.07 — meaningful gap+0.01

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Manon FiorotJasmine Jasudavicius

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Manon Fiorot(9 fights)Jasmine Jasudavicius(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -20.3|Blue +20.3

Recent Form

Red -1.1|Blue +1.1

Striker Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Grappler Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Layoff

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Manon FiorotTargetJasmine Jasudavicius

By target zone

62% acc · 100%

Head

14% acc · 100%

0% acc

Body

Leg

By position

50% acc · 50%

Distance

14% acc · 100%

0% acc

Clinch

89% acc · 50%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Manon Fiorot rounds

even

Jasmine Jasudavicius rounds

Round 1Manon Fiorot edged it

Sig. strikes16

Takedowns0

Control0:06

2Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

16 / 27

Sig Strikes

2 / 14

59%

Sig Str %

14%

17 / 28

Total Strikes

2 / 14

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:06

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Jasmine Jasudavicius	2 / 14	2 / 14	0 / 0	0
1	Manon Fiorot	16 / 27	17 / 28	0 / 0	0

Manon Fiorot

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach65.0"

Fights9

Jasmine Jasudavicius

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights11