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Women's Flyweight

3 Rounds

Victoria Leonardo won · U-DEC R3

Elo1498

Elo1489

Mandy BohmvsVictoria LeonardoUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall · Saturday, July 23, 2022London, England, United Kingdom

Official fight result

Victoria Leonardo won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupMandy Bohm: Well-roundedvsVictoria Leonardo: Well-rounded

Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.

Model Prediction: Mandy Bohm wins(54.7%)

Actual result: Victoria Leonardo wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Mandy Bohm at -110 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Victoria Leonardo enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Mandy Bohm has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Mandy Bohm has a 18cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Mandy Bohm

Red Corner

Victoria Leonardo

Blue Corner

-110

(52%)

Vegas Odds

-110

(52%)

1498

Elo

1489

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

5'5"

180.34 cm

Reach

162.56 cm

Recent Form

Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Mandy Bohm

oldest →

vs Ariane Lipski · Sep 21

vs Ji Yeon Kim · May 23

latest

Victoria LeonardoL4 streak

oldest →

KOvs Manon Fiorot · Jan 21

KOvs Melissa Gatto · Aug 21

KOvs Natalia Silva · May 23

KOvs Wang Cong · Aug 24

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Mandy BohmMetricVictoria Leonardo

2.51

Strikes / min

3.22

3.24

Strikes absorbed / min

4.81

60%

Strike defense

47%

0.72

TDs / 15 min

1.57

75%

Takedown defense

71%

0.70

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.73evenly matched on net striking-1.59

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Mandy BohmVictoria Leonardo

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Mandy Bohm(3 fights)Victoria Leonardo(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +9.4|Blue -9.4

Recent Form

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Grappler Score

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Layoff

Red -42.0|Blue +42.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Mandy BohmTargetVictoria Leonardo

By target zone

39% acc · 50%

Head

26% acc · 54%

93% acc · 27%

Body

69% acc · 46%

100% acc · 23%

Leg

0% acc

By position

47% acc · 67%

Distance

27% acc · 64%

100% acc · 33%

Clinch

87% acc · 33%

0% acc

Ground

100% acc · 3%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Mandy Bohm rounds

even

Victoria Leonardo rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns0

Control0:25

9Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:30Control

Round 2Victoria Leonardo edged it

Sig. strikes18

Takedowns0

Control0:07

20Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

2:15Control

Round 3Mandy Bohm edged it

Sig. strikes19

Takedowns0

Control0:23

10Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:21Control

Fight Stats

Totals

52 / 93

Sig Strikes

39 / 110

56%

Sig Str %

34.3%

83 / 124

Total Strikes

85 / 166

0 / 1

TDs

2 / 6

TD %

44.3%

Sub Att

Rev

0:55

Ctrl Time

7:06

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Victoria Leonardo	9 / 30	25 / 46	1 / 1	0
1	Mandy Bohm	15 / 26	25 / 36	0 / 0	0
2	Victoria Leonardo	20 / 43	35 / 60	0 / 2	0
2	Mandy Bohm	18 / 36	29 / 47	0 / 0	0
3	Victoria Leonardo	10 / 37	25 / 60	1 / 3	0
3	Mandy Bohm	19 / 31	29 / 41	0 / 1	1

Mandy Bohm

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights3

Victoria Leonardo

StanceOrthodox

Height65.0"

Reach64.0"

Fights5