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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Mana Martinez won · S-DEC R3

Elo1496

Elo1497

Mana MartinezvsGuido CannettiUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze · Saturday, August 28, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Mana Martinez won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupMana Martinez: Pressure fightervsGuido Cannetti: Wrestler

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Mana Martinez wins(76.9%)

Actual result: Mana Martinez wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Mana Martinez at -305 American odds

+$33 profit

$133 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Guido Cannetti has 39pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Guido Cannetti (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Mana Martinez

Red Corner

Guido Cannetti

Blue Corner

-305

(75%)

Vegas Odds

+240

(29%)

1496

Elo

1497

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'10"

Height

5'6"

177.8 cm

Reach

172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Mana Martinez

oldest →

vs Ronnie Lawrence · Feb 22

vs Brandon Davis · Oct 22

vs Cameron Saaiman · Mar 23

latest

Guido Cannetti

oldest →

SUBvs Marlon Vera · Nov 18

KOvs Danaa Batgerel · Mar 20

KOvs Kris Moutinho · Mar 22

SUBvs Randy Costa · Oct 22

SUBvs Mario Bautista · Mar 23

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Mana MartinezMetricGuido Cannetti

4.33

Strikes / min

3.44

4.94

Strikes absorbed / min

2.84

50%

Strike defense

51%

0.72

TDs / 15 min

2.27

25%

Takedown defense

64%

0.50

Sub atts / 15 min

0.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.61Δ 1.21 — meaningful gap+0.60

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Mana MartinezGuido Cannetti

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Mana Martinez(4 fights)Guido Cannetti(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Recent Form

Red +0.8|Blue -0.8

Striker Score

Red +48.5|Blue -48.5

Grappler Score

Red +49.7|Blue -49.7

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Mana MartinezTargetGuido Cannetti

By target zone

36% acc · 44%

Head

37% acc · 32%

70% acc · 39%

Body

68% acc · 20%

87% acc · 16%

Leg

97% acc · 48%

By position

49% acc · 91%

Distance

61% acc · 97%

75% acc · 4%

Clinch

0% acc

67% acc · 5%

Ground

67% acc · 3%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Mana Martinez rounds

even

Guido Cannetti rounds

Round 1Guido Cannetti edged it

Sig. strikes19

Takedowns1

Control0:14

27Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:28Control

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes24

Takedowns0

Control0:00

23Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Mana Martinez edged it

Sig. strikes36

Takedowns1

Control0:53

16Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Fight Stats

Totals

79 / 157

Sig Strikes

66 / 109

51.3%

Sig Str %

59.7%

88 / 169

Total Strikes

68 / 111

2 / 3

TDs

0 / 0

75%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

1:07

Ctrl Time

0:28

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Guido Cannetti	27 / 37	28 / 38	0 / 0
1	Mana Martinez	19 / 32	21 / 35	1 / 2
2	Guido Cannetti	23 / 40	23 / 40	0 / 0
2	Mana Martinez	24 / 51	24 / 51	0 / 0
3	Guido Cannetti	16 / 32	17 / 33	0 / 0
3	Mana Martinez	36 / 74	43 / 83	1 / 1

Mana Martinez

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights4

Guido Cannetti

StanceSouthpaw

Height66.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights10