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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Cameron Saaiman won · M-DEC R3

Elo1496

Elo1489

Mana MartinezvsCameron SaaimanUFC Prediction Result

UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · Saturday, March 4, 2023Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Cameron Saaiman won

M-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupMana Martinez: Pressure fightervsCameron Saaiman: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Cameron Saaiman wins(75.9%)

Actual result: Cameron Saaiman wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Cameron Saaiman at -250 American odds

+$40 profit

$140 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Cameron Saaiman enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Cameron Saaiman has 22pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Cameron Saaiman (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Mana Martinez

Red Corner

Cameron Saaiman

Blue Corner

+210

(32%)

Vegas Odds

-250

(71%)

1496

Elo

1489

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'10"

Height

5'8"

177.8 cm

Reach

170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Mana Martinez

oldest →

vs Guido Cannetti · Aug 21

vs Ronnie Lawrence · Feb 22

vs Brandon Davis · Oct 22

latest

Cameron SaaimanL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Steven Koslow · Dec 22

KOvs Terrence Mitchell · Jul 23

vs Christian Rodriguez · Oct 23

KOvs Payton Talbott · Mar 24

KOvs Malcolm Wellmaker · Apr 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Mana MartinezMetricCameron Saaiman

4.33

Strikes / min

5.30

4.94

Strikes absorbed / min

4.14

50%

Strike defense

51%

0.72

TDs / 15 min

0.89

25%

Takedown defense

47%

0.50

Sub atts / 15 min

0.70

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.61Δ 1.77 — meaningful gap+1.16

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Mana MartinezCameron Saaiman

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Mana Martinez(4 fights)Cameron Saaiman(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +7.8|Blue -7.8

Recent Form

Red -0.6|Blue +0.6

Striker Score

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red +56.0|Blue -56.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Mana MartinezTargetCameron Saaiman

By target zone

32% acc · 67%

Head

38% acc · 56%

83% acc · 25%

Body

77% acc · 20%

100% acc · 8%

Leg

80% acc · 24%

By position

40% acc · 97%

Distance

45% acc · 73%

50% acc · 3%

Clinch

33% acc · 1%

Ground

67% acc · 26%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Mana Martinez rounds

even

Cameron Saaiman rounds

Round 1Cameron Saaiman edged it

Sig. strikes28

Takedowns0

Control0:00

40Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Cameron Saaiman edged it

Sig. strikes18

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

32Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

2:12Control

1Knockdowns

Round 3Cameron Saaiman edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns0

Control0:00

45Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:55Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

60 / 148

Sig Strikes

117 / 240

39.7%

Sig Str %

48.3%

63 / 160

Total Strikes

146 / 272

0 / 0

TDs

1 / 1

—

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

4:07

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Cameron Saaiman	40 / 85	41 / 86	0 / 0
1	Mana Martinez	28 / 67	28 / 67	0 / 0
2	Cameron Saaiman	32 / 71	44 / 85	0 / 0
2	Mana Martinez	18 / 45	20 / 54	0 / 0
3	Cameron Saaiman	45 / 84	61 / 101	1 / 1
3	Mana Martinez	14 / 36	15 / 39	0 / 0

Mana Martinez

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights4

Cameron Saaiman

StanceSouthpaw

Height68.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights6