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Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Mallory Martin won · SUB R2
Elo1413
Elo1529

Mallory MartinvsVirna JandirobaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik · Saturday, December 7, 2019Washington, DC, USA

Official fight result

Mallory Martin won

SUB · Round 2 · 1:16

Style matchupMallory Martin: WrestlervsVirna Jandiroba: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Mallory Martin wins(55.7%)

Actual result: Mallory Martin wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Mallory Martin at +215 American odds

+$215 profit

$315 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Virna Jandiroba has 47pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Mallory Martin
Red Corner
VS
Virna Jandiroba
Blue Corner
+215
(32%)
Vegas Odds
-255
(72%)
1413
Elo
1529
32
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'4"
Height
5'3"
160.02 cm
Reach
162.56 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Mallory MartinL2 streak
oldest →
W
SUBvs Hannah Cifers · Aug 20
L
SUBvs Polyana Viana · Feb 21
L
vs Cheyanne Vlismas · Dec 21
latest
Virna Jandiroba
oldest →
W
vs Loopy Godinez · Mar 24
W
SUBvs Amanda Lemos · Jul 24
W
vs Yan Xiaonan · Apr 25
L
vs Mackenzie Dern · Oct 25
W
DECvs Tabatha Ricci · Apr 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Mallory MartinMetricVirna Jandiroba
4.42
Strikes / min
2.27
6.64
Strikes absorbed / min
2.86
55%
Strike defense
55%
2.28
TDs / 15 min
3.13
25%
Takedown defense
72%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
1.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-2.22Δ 1.63 — meaningful gap-0.59

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1500 vs 1483Takedowns5.0 vs 3.0Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.00Form0.0 vs -1.0
Mallory MartinVirna Jandiroba

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801495151015251540← oldermost recent →
Mallory Martin(4 fights)Virna Jandiroba(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -115.8|Blue +115.8
Recent Form
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score
Red +50.0|Blue -50.0
Grappler Score
Red +50.0|Blue -50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Mallory Martin

StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach63.0"
Fights4

Virna Jandiroba

StanceOrthodox
Height63.0"
Reach64.0"
Fights13