Women's Strawweight

3 Rounds

Mallory Martin won · SUB R2

Elo1413

Elo1388

Mallory MartinvsHannah CifersUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic · Saturday, August 29, 2020Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Mallory Martin won

SUB · Round 2 · 1:33

Style matchupMallory Martin: WrestlervsHannah Cifers: Pressure fighter

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Mallory Martin wins(84.1%)

Actual result: Mallory Martin wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Mallory Martin at -315 American odds

+$32 profit

$132 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Hannah Cifers enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Mallory Martin threatens submissions; Hannah Cifers has lost 60% of fights by sub.
Hannah Cifers has 39pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Mallory Martin

Red Corner

Hannah Cifers

Blue Corner

-315

(76%)

Vegas Odds

+239

(29%)

1413

Elo

1388

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'4"

Height

5'1"

160.02 cm

Reach

157.48 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Mallory MartinL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Virna Jandiroba · Dec 19

SUBvs Polyana Viana · Feb 21

vs Cheyanne Vlismas · Dec 21

latest

Hannah CifersL3 streak

oldest →

vs Polyana Viana · Mar 19

vs Jodie Esquibel · Aug 19

KOvs Angela Hill · Jan 20

SUBvs Mackenzie Dern · May 20

SUBvs Mariya Agapova · Jun 20

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Mallory MartinMetricHannah Cifers

4.42

Strikes / min

4.99

6.64

Strikes absorbed / min

5.39

55%

Strike defense

52%

2.28

TDs / 15 min

0.26

25%

Takedown defense

64%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-2.22Δ 1.82 — meaningful gap-0.40

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Mallory MartinHannah Cifers

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Mallory Martin(4 fights)Hannah Cifers(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +25.1|Blue -25.1

Recent Form

Red +1.6|Blue -1.6

Striker Score

Red -0.8|Blue +0.8

Grappler Score

Red +30.1|Blue -30.1

Layoff

Red +189.0|Blue -189.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Mallory MartinTargetHannah Cifers

By target zone

57% acc · 95%

Head

45% acc · 71%

100% acc · 5%

Body

56% acc · 20%

Leg

100% acc · 8%

By position

53% acc · 77%

Distance

41% acc · 61%

Clinch

71% acc · 31%

83% acc · 23%

Ground

67% acc · 8%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Mallory Martin rounds

even

Hannah Cifers rounds

Round 1Hannah Cifers edged it

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

46Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:26Control

1Knockdowns

Round 2Mallory Martin edged it

Sig. strikes9

Takedowns1

Control1:14

3Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Fight Stats

Totals

22 / 38

Sig Strikes

49 / 100

57.5%

Sig Str %

54%

48 / 66

Total Strikes

75 / 130

1 / 2

TDs

0 / 0

50%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

1:14

Ctrl Time

1:26

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Hannah Cifers	46 / 95	72 / 125	0 / 0	0
1	Mallory Martin	13 / 22	16 / 25	0 / 1	0
2	Hannah Cifers	3 / 5	3 / 5	0 / 0	0
2	Mallory Martin	9 / 16	32 / 41	1 / 1	1

Mallory Martin

StanceOrthodox

Height64.0"

Reach63.0"

Fights4

Hannah Cifers

StanceOrthodox

Height61.0"

Reach62.0"

Fights7