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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Malcolm Wellmaker won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1489

Malcolm WellmakervsCameron SaaimanUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · Saturday, April 26, 2025Kansas City, Missouri, USA

Official fight result

Malcolm Wellmaker won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 1:59

Style matchupMalcolm Wellmaker: Pressure fightervsCameron Saaiman: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Cameron Saaiman wins(52.6%)

Actual result: Malcolm Wellmaker wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Cameron Saaiman at +108 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Malcolm Wellmaker is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Cameron Saaiman has lost 67% of fights by KO.
Stance matchup historically favors Malcolm Wellmaker (54.1%).
Malcolm Wellmaker has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Malcolm Wellmaker

Red Corner

Cameron Saaiman

Blue Corner

-126

(56%)

Vegas Odds

+108

(48%)

1489

Elo

1489

Age

Switch

Stance

Southpaw

5'10"

Height

5'8"

180.34 cm

Reach

170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Malcolm WellmakerL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Kris Moutinho · Jun 25

vs Ethyn Ewing · Nov 25

SUBvs Juan Diaz · May 26

latest

Cameron SaaimanL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Steven Koslow · Dec 22

vs Mana Martinez · Mar 23

KOvs Terrence Mitchell · Jul 23

vs Christian Rodriguez · Oct 23

KOvs Payton Talbott · Mar 24

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Malcolm WellmakerMetricCameron Saaiman

5.80

Strikes / min

5.30

5.39

Strikes absorbed / min

4.14

52%

Strike defense

51%

0.00

TDs / 15 min

0.89

57%

Takedown defense

47%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.70

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.41evenly matched on net striking+1.16

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Malcolm WellmakerCameron Saaiman

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Malcolm Wellmaker(4 fights)Cameron Saaiman(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +0.8|Blue -0.8

Recent Form

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Striker Score

Red +49.5|Blue -49.5

Grappler Score

Red +49.7|Blue -49.7

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Malcolm WellmakerTargetCameron Saaiman

By target zone

17% acc · 17%

Head

11% acc · 11%

100% acc · 67%

Body

50% acc · 11%

50% acc · 17%

Leg

100% acc · 78%

By position

55% acc · 100%

Distance

50% acc · 100%

Clinch

0% acc

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Malcolm Wellmaker rounds

even

Cameron Saaiman rounds

Round 1Malcolm Wellmaker edged it

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns0

Control0:01

Knockdowns1

9Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

6 / 12

Sig Strikes

9 / 18

50%

Sig Str %

50%

6 / 12

Total Strikes

9 / 18

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:01

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Cameron Saaiman	9 / 18	9 / 18	0 / 0	0
1	Malcolm Wellmaker	6 / 12	6 / 12	0 / 0	0

Malcolm Wellmaker

StanceSwitch

Height70.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights3

Cameron Saaiman

StanceSouthpaw

Height68.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights6