Flyweight

3 Rounds

Jimmy Flick won · SUB R2

Elo1491

Elo1487

Malcolm GordonvsJimmy FlickUFC Prediction Result

UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · Saturday, January 20, 2024Toronto, Ontario, Canada

Official fight result

Jimmy Flick won

SUB · Round 2 · 1:17

Style matchupMalcolm Gordon: Submission grapplervsJimmy Flick: Wrestler

Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.

Model Prediction: Jimmy Flick wins(57.1%)

Actual result: Jimmy Flick wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Jimmy Flick enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Malcolm Gordon is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Jimmy Flick has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Jimmy Flick threatens submissions; Malcolm Gordon has lost 60% of fights by sub.
Malcolm Gordon has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Malcolm Gordon (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Malcolm Gordon

Red Corner

Jimmy Flick

Blue Corner

—

Vegas Odds

—

1491

Elo

1487

Age

Switch

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

5'7"

180.34 cm

Reach

172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Malcolm GordonL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Su Mudaerji · Nov 20

vs Francisco Figueiredo · Jul 21

KOvs Denys Bondar · Feb 22

SUBvs Muhammad Mokaev · Oct 22

KOvs Jake Hadley · Mar 23

latest

Jimmy FlickL4 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Cody Durden · Dec 20

KOvs Charles Johnson · Jan 23

KOvs Alessandro Costa · Jun 23

vs Nate Maness · Jun 24

vs Matt Schnell · Apr 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Malcolm GordonMetricJimmy Flick

2.50

Strikes / min

1.67

2.00

Strikes absorbed / min

4.70

43%

Strike defense

43%

1.72

TDs / 15 min

2.36

26%

Takedown defense

1.00

Sub atts / 15 min

3.50

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.50Δ 3.53 — meaningful gap-3.03

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Malcolm GordonJimmy Flick

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Malcolm Gordon(7 fights)Jimmy Flick(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +3.8|Blue -3.8

Recent Form

Red +0.4|Blue -0.4

Striker Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Grappler Score

Red -1.0|Blue +1.0

Layoff

Red +91.0|Blue -91.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Malcolm GordonTargetJimmy Flick

By target zone

52% acc · 95%

Head

40% acc · 67%

67% acc · 5%

Body

0% acc

Leg

100% acc · 33%

By position

44% acc · 49%

Distance

43% acc · 100%

100% acc · 14%

Clinch

58% acc · 38%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Malcolm Gordon rounds

even

Jimmy Flick rounds

Round 1Malcolm Gordon edged it

Sig. strikes19

Takedowns1

Control4:13

0Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:28Control

Round 2Malcolm Gordon edged it

Sig. strikes18

Takedowns0

Control0:00

3Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:39Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

37 / 70

Sig Strikes

3 / 7

53%

Sig Str %

30%

74 / 116

Total Strikes

7 / 11

1 / 1

TDs

1 / 4

100%

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

4:13

Ctrl Time

1:07

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Jimmy Flick	0 / 2	4 / 6	0 / 3	2
1	Malcolm Gordon	19 / 39	55 / 84	1 / 1	1
2	Jimmy Flick	3 / 5	3 / 5	1 / 1	2
2	Malcolm Gordon	18 / 31	19 / 32	0 / 0	0

Malcolm Gordon

StanceSwitch

Height67.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights7

Jimmy Flick

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights6