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Flyweight
3 Rounds
Malcolm Gordon won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1491
Elo1488
Denys Bondar

Malcolm GordonvsDenys BondarUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland · Saturday, February 5, 2022Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Malcolm Gordon won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 1:22

Style matchupMalcolm Gordon: Submission grapplervsDenys Bondar: Wrestler

Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.

Model Prediction: Denys Bondar wins(61.7%)

Actual result: Malcolm Gordon wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Malcolm Gordon enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Denys Bondar has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Denys Bondar has 36pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Malcolm Gordon (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Malcolm Gordon
Red Corner
VS
Denys Bondar
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
1491
Elo
1488
36
Age
34
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'6"
180.34 cm
Reach
175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Malcolm GordonL3 streak
oldest →
L
KOvs Su Mudaerji · Nov 20
W
vs Francisco Figueiredo · Jul 21
L
SUBvs Muhammad Mokaev · Oct 22
L
KOvs Jake Hadley · Mar 23
L
SUBvs Jimmy Flick · Jan 24
latest
Denys BondarL2 streak
oldest →
L
vs Carlos Hernandez · Jun 23
L
SUBvs Ronaldo Rodriguez · Feb 24
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Malcolm GordonMetricDenys Bondar
2.50
Strikes / min
4.59
2.00
Strikes absorbed / min
5.16
43%
Strike defense
56%
1.72
TDs / 15 min
3.99
26%
Takedown defense
62%
1.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.50Δ 1.07 — meaningful gap-0.57

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1487 vs 1500Strikes2.5 vs 4.6Takedowns1.7 vs 4.0Sub Atts1.00 vs 0.00Form0.1 vs 0.0
Malcolm GordonDenys Bondar

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14701483149515081520← oldermost recent →
Malcolm Gordon(7 fights)Denys Bondar(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +3.0|Blue -3.0
Recent Form
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Striker Score
Red -49.8|Blue +49.8
Grappler Score
Red -49.9|Blue +49.9
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Malcolm GordonTargetDenys Bondar

By target zone

3
27% acc · 100%
Head
2
67% acc · 50%
0
Body
0
0
Leg
2
100% acc · 50%

By position

3
27% acc · 100%
Distance
4
80% acc · 100%
0
Clinch
0
0
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Malcolm Gordon rounds
1
even
0
Denys Bondar rounds
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns1
Control0:15
4Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:37Control

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
3 / 11
Sig Strikes
4 / 5
27%
Sig Str %
80%
6 / 15
Total Strikes
4 / 5
1 / 1
TDs
1 / 1
100%
TD %
100%
1
Sub Att
0
1
Rev
0
0:15
Ctrl Time
0:37

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Denys Bondar4 / 54 / 51 / 10
1Malcolm Gordon3 / 116 / 151 / 11

Malcolm Gordon

StanceSwitch
Height67.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights7

Denys Bondar

StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights3