Flyweight

3 Rounds

Amir Albazi won · SUB R1

Elo1491

Elo1494

Malcolm GordonvsAmir AlbaziUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Figueiredo vs. Benavidez 2 · Saturday, July 18, 2020Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

Official fight result

Amir Albazi won

SUB · Round 1 · 4:42

Model Prediction: Malcolm Gordon wins(50.5%)

Actual result: Amir Albazi wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Malcolm Gordon at +135 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Malcolm Gordon enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Amir Albazi threatens submissions; Malcolm Gordon has lost 60% of fights by sub.
Amir Albazi has 16pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Amir Albazi has 36pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Malcolm Gordon (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Malcolm Gordon

Red Corner

Amir Albazi

Blue Corner

+135

(43%)

Vegas Odds

-167

(63%)

1491

Elo

1494

Age

Switch

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

5'5"

180.34 cm

Reach

172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Malcolm GordonL3 streak

oldest →

vs Francisco Figueiredo · Jul 21

KOvs Denys Bondar · Feb 22

SUBvs Muhammad Mokaev · Oct 22

KOvs Jake Hadley · Mar 23

SUBvs Jimmy Flick · Jan 24

latest

Amir AlbaziL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Francisco Figueiredo · Aug 22

KOvs Alessandro Costa · Dec 22

vs Kai Kara-France · Jun 23

vs Brandon Moreno · Nov 24

vs Kyoji Horiguchi · Feb 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Malcolm GordonMetricAmir Albazi

2.50

Strikes / min

2.47

2.00

Strikes absorbed / min

3.88

43%

Strike defense

59%

1.72

TDs / 15 min

1.18

26%

Takedown defense

62%

1.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.50Δ 1.91 — meaningful gap-1.41

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Malcolm GordonAmir Albazi

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Malcolm Gordon(7 fights)Amir Albazi(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -3.1|Blue +3.1

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Malcolm GordonTargetAmir Albazi

By target zone

9% acc · 33%

Head

33% acc · 67%

100% acc · 33%

Body

100% acc · 17%

25% acc · 33%

Leg

100% acc · 17%

By position

19% acc · 100%

Distance

40% acc · 83%

Clinch

Ground

67% acc · 17%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Malcolm Gordon rounds

even

Amir Albazi rounds

Round 1Amir Albazi edged it

Sig. strikes3

Takedowns0

Control0:22

12Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:21Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

3 / 16

Sig Strikes

12 / 28

18%

Sig Str %

42%

5 / 18

Total Strikes

28 / 46

0 / 0

TDs

1 / 1

—

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

0:22

Ctrl Time

2:21

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Amir Albazi	12 / 28	28 / 46	1 / 1	1
1	Malcolm Gordon	3 / 16	5 / 18	0 / 0	0

Malcolm Gordon

StanceSwitch

Height67.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights7

Amir Albazi

StanceOrthodox

Height65.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights7