Featherweight

3 Rounds

Makwan Amirkhani won · SUB R1

Elo1453

Elo1356

Makwan AmirkhanivsMasio FullenUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Jedrzejczyk vs Penne · Saturday, June 20, 2015Berlin, Berlin, Germany

Official fight result

Makwan Amirkhani won

SUB · Round 1 · 1:41

Model Prediction: Masio Fullen wins(69.8%)

Actual result: Makwan Amirkhani wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Masio Fullen at +240 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Makwan Amirkhani threatens submissions; Masio Fullen has lost 50% of fights by sub.
Masio Fullen has 34pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Makwan Amirkhani (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Makwan Amirkhani

Red Corner

Masio Fullen

Blue Corner

-260

(72%)

Vegas Odds

+240

(29%)

1453

Elo

1356

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'10"

Height

5'10"

182.88 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Makwan AmirkhaniL2 streak

oldest →

vs Kamuela Kirk · Jun 21

KOvs Lerone Murphy · Oct 21

SUBvs Mike Grundy · Mar 22

KOvs Jonathan Pearce · Jul 22

SUBvs Jack Shore · Mar 23

latest

Masio Fullen

oldest →

vs Alex Torres · Feb 15

vs Alex Caceres · Jan 16

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Makwan AmirkhaniMetricMasio Fullen

1.33

Strikes / min

2.46

2.98

Strikes absorbed / min

3.50

46%

Strike defense

54%

3.96

TDs / 15 min

0.47

35%

Takedown defense

69%

1.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.65evenly matched on net striking-1.04

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Makwan AmirkhaniMasio Fullen

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Makwan Amirkhani(10 fights)Masio Fullen(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +97.3|Blue -97.3

Recent Form

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red +35.0|Blue -35.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Makwan AmirkhaniTargetMasio Fullen

By target zone

Head

Body

100% acc · 100%

Leg

By position

Distance

100% acc · 100%

Clinch

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Makwan Amirkhani rounds

even

Masio Fullen rounds

Round 1Makwan Amirkhani edged it

Sig. strikes0

Takedowns1

Control1:19

1Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0 / 0

Sig Strikes

1 / 1

—

Sig Str %

100%

0 / 0

Total Strikes

1 / 1

TDs

0 / 0

100%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

1:19

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Masio Fullen	1 / 1	1 / 1	0 / 0	0
1	Makwan Amirkhani	0 / 0	0 / 0	1 / 1	2

Makwan Amirkhani

StanceSouthpaw

Height70.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights14

Masio Fullen

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights3