Featherweight

3 Rounds

Makwan Amirkhani won · SUB R2

Elo1453

Elo1386

Makwan AmirkhanivsChris FishgoldUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Smith · Saturday, June 1, 2019Stockholm, Sweden

Official fight result

Makwan Amirkhani won

SUB · Round 2 · 4:25

Style matchupMakwan Amirkhani: WrestlervsChris Fishgold: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Makwan Amirkhani wins(73.4%)

Actual result: Makwan Amirkhani wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Makwan Amirkhani at -130 American odds

+$77 profit

$177 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Makwan Amirkhani threatens submissions; Chris Fishgold has lost 33% of fights by sub.
Stance matchup historically favors Makwan Amirkhani (53.5%).
Makwan Amirkhani has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Makwan Amirkhani

Red Corner

Chris Fishgold

Blue Corner

-130

(57%)

Vegas Odds

+110

(48%)

1453

Elo

1386

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'10"

Height

5'8"

182.88 cm

Reach

172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Makwan AmirkhaniL2 streak

oldest →

vs Kamuela Kirk · Jun 21

KOvs Lerone Murphy · Oct 21

SUBvs Mike Grundy · Mar 22

KOvs Jonathan Pearce · Jul 22

SUBvs Jack Shore · Mar 23

latest

Chris Fishgold

oldest →

KOvs Calvin Kattar · Oct 18

SUBvs Daniel Teymur · Feb 19

vs Jared Gordon · Jul 20

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Makwan AmirkhaniMetricChris Fishgold

1.33

Strikes / min

2.01

2.98

Strikes absorbed / min

2.70

46%

Strike defense

46%

3.96

TDs / 15 min

2.59

35%

Takedown defense

44%

1.10

Sub atts / 15 min

1.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.65evenly matched on net striking-0.69

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Makwan AmirkhaniChris Fishgold

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Makwan Amirkhani(10 fights)Chris Fishgold(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +67.1|Blue -67.1

Recent Form

Red +0.5|Blue -0.5

Striker Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red +272.0|Blue -272.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Makwan AmirkhaniTargetChris Fishgold

By target zone

29% acc · 67%

Head

13% acc · 25%

33% acc · 11%

Body

60% acc · 19%

67% acc · 22%

Leg

53% acc · 56%

By position

26% acc · 67%

Distance

31% acc · 100%

Clinch

75% acc · 33%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Makwan Amirkhani rounds

even

Chris Fishgold rounds

Round 1Makwan Amirkhani edged it

Sig. strikes5

Takedowns1

Control2:01

7Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Chris Fishgold edged it

Sig. strikes4

Takedowns0

Control0:58

9Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Fight Stats

Totals

9 / 27

Sig Strikes

16 / 52

33%

Sig Str %

30.5%

18 / 36

Total Strikes

16 / 52

1 / 2

TDs

0 / 0

50%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

2:59

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Chris Fishgold	7 / 23	7 / 23	0 / 0	0
1	Makwan Amirkhani	5 / 15	14 / 24	1 / 1	0
2	Chris Fishgold	9 / 29	9 / 29	0 / 0	0
2	Makwan Amirkhani	4 / 12	4 / 12	0 / 1	1

Makwan Amirkhani

StanceSouthpaw

Height70.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights14

Chris Fishgold

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights4