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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Dusko Todorovic won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1412

Elo1494

Maki PitolovsDusko TodorovicUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo · Saturday, December 4, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Dusko Todorovic won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 4:34

Style matchupMaki Pitolo: WrestlervsDusko Todorovic: Pressure fighter

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Dusko Todorovic wins(55.1%)

Actual result: Dusko Todorovic wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Dusko Todorovic at -180 American odds

+$56 profit

$156 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Maki Pitolo enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Maki Pitolo is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Dusko Todorovic has lost 67% of fights by KO.

Tale of the Tape

Maki Pitolo

Red Corner

Dusko Todorovic

Blue Corner

+155

(39%)

Vegas Odds

-180

(64%)

1412

Elo

1494

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'10"

Height

6'1"

190.5 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Maki PitoloL3 streak

oldest →

vs Callan Potter · Oct 19

KOvs Charles Byrd · Jun 20

SUBvs Darren Stewart · Aug 20

vs Impa Kasanganay · Aug 20

SUBvs Julian Marquez · Feb 21

latest

Dusko Todorovic

oldest →

KOvs Jordan Wright · Oct 22

KOvs Christian Leroy Duncan · Mar 23

KOvs Mansur Abdul-Malik · Nov 24

vs Zach Reese · May 25

SUBvs Jose Daniel Medina · Sep 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Maki PitoloMetricDusko Todorovic

4.10

Strikes / min

4.73

3.93

Strikes absorbed / min

4.40

55%

Strike defense

48%

2.24

TDs / 15 min

1.77

50%

Takedown defense

42%

0.80

Sub atts / 15 min

0.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.17evenly matched on net striking+0.33

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Maki PitoloDusko Todorovic

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Maki Pitolo(6 fights)Dusko Todorovic(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -82.2|Blue +82.2

Recent Form

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Striker Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Grappler Score

Red +0.4|Blue -0.4

Layoff

Red +112.0|Blue -112.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Maki PitoloTargetDusko Todorovic

By target zone

25% acc · 38%

Head

55% acc · 93%

83% acc · 38%

Body

100% acc · 3%

100% acc · 23%

Leg

100% acc · 3%

By position

43% acc · 92%

Distance

41% acc · 30%

100% acc · 8%

Clinch

0% acc

Ground

70% acc · 70%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Maki Pitolo rounds

even

Dusko Todorovic rounds

Round 1Dusko Todorovic edged it

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns0

Control0:00

30Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:46Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

13 / 29

Sig Strikes

30 / 53

44%

Sig Str %

56%

13 / 29

Total Strikes

67 / 91

0 / 0

TDs

1 / 1

—

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

2:46

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Dusko Todorovic	30 / 53	67 / 91	1 / 1	0
1	Maki Pitolo	13 / 29	13 / 29	0 / 0	1

Maki Pitolo

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights6

Dusko Todorovic

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights10