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Lightweight
3 Rounds
Mairbek Taisumov won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1492
Mairbek Taisumov
Elo1354
Marcin Bandel

Mairbek TaisumovvsMarcin BandelUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story · Saturday, October 4, 2014Stockholm, Sweden

Official fight result

Mairbek Taisumov won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 1:01

Model Prediction: Mairbek Taisumov wins(67.2%)

Actual result: Mairbek Taisumov wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Mairbek Taisumov at -150 American odds

+$67 profit

$167 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Mairbek Taisumov is a KO finisher (71% of wins). Marcin Bandel has lost 100% of fights by KO.
  • Mairbek Taisumov has 41pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Mairbek Taisumov has 88pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Mairbek Taisumov
Red Corner
VS
Marcin Bandel
Blue Corner
-150
(60%)
Vegas Odds
+140
(42%)
1492
Elo
1354
37
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'10"
185.42 cm
Reach
177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Mairbek Taisumov
oldest →
W
KOvs Alan Patrick · Jun 15
W
KOvs Damir Hadzovic · Apr 16
W
KOvs Felipe Silva · Sep 17
W
vs Desmond Green · Sep 18
L
vs Diego Ferreira · Sep 19
latest
Marcin Bandel
oldest →
L
KOvs Stevie Ray · Apr 15
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Mairbek TaisumovMetricMarcin Bandel
2.98
Strikes / min
0.79
3.03
Strikes absorbed / min
5.26
64%
Strike defense
23%
1.34
TDs / 15 min
0.00
88%
Takedown defense
0%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.05Δ 4.42 — meaningful gap-4.47

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1499 vs 1500Strikes29.5 vs —Takedowns2.5 vs —Sub Atts0.00 vs —Form-0.1 vs 0.0
Mairbek TaisumovMarcin Bandel

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14901498150515131520← oldermost recent →
Mairbek Taisumov(9 fights)Marcin Bandel(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +137.3|Blue -137.3
Recent Form
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Striker Score
Red -48.9|Blue +48.9
Grappler Score
Red -49.5|Blue +49.5
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Mairbek TaisumovTargetMarcin Bandel

By target zone

8
89% acc · 89%
Head
3
43% acc · 100%
0
Body
0
1
100% acc · 11%
Leg
0

By position

6
86% acc · 67%
Distance
3
43% acc · 100%
0
Clinch
0
3
100% acc · 33%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Mairbek Taisumov rounds
0
even
0
Marcin Bandel rounds
Round 1Mairbek Taisumov edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns0
Control0:05
Knockdowns1
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

1
KD
0
9 / 10
Sig Strikes
3 / 7
90%
Sig Str %
42%
9 / 10
Total Strikes
3 / 7
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 0
—
TD %
—
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:05
Ctrl Time
0:00

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Marcin Bandel3 / 73 / 70 / 00
1Mairbek Taisumov9 / 109 / 100 / 00

Mairbek Taisumov

StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights9

Marcin Bandel

StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach—
Fights2