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Lightweight
3 Rounds
Mairbek Taisumov won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1492
Mairbek Taisumov
Elo1365

Mairbek TaisumovvsFelipe SilvaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Struve · Saturday, September 2, 2017Rotterdam, Zuid-Holland, Netherlands

Official fight result

Mairbek Taisumov won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 1:24

Style matchupMairbek Taisumov: Well-roundedvsFelipe Silva: Elusive striker

The well-rounded fighter has more dimensions. The elusive striker needs to win the striking exchanges clearly.

Model Prediction: Mairbek Taisumov wins(71.5%)

Actual result: Mairbek Taisumov wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Mairbek Taisumov at -525 American odds

+$19 profit

$119 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Mairbek Taisumov is a KO finisher (71% of wins). Felipe Silva has lost 50% of fights by KO.
  • Mairbek Taisumov has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Felipe Silva has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Mairbek Taisumov
Red Corner
VS
Felipe Silva
Blue Corner
-525
(84%)
Vegas Odds
+450
(18%)
1492
Elo
1365
37
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
6'0"
185.42 cm
Reach
195.58 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Mairbek Taisumov
oldest →
W
KOvs Anthony Christodoulou · Jan 15
W
KOvs Alan Patrick · Jun 15
W
KOvs Damir Hadzovic · Apr 16
W
vs Desmond Green · Sep 18
L
vs Diego Ferreira · Sep 19
latest
Felipe Silva
oldest →
W
KOvs Shane Campbell · Aug 16
L
SUBvs Claudio Puelles · May 18
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Mairbek TaisumovMetricFelipe Silva
2.98
Strikes / min
5.40
3.03
Strikes absorbed / min
1.80
64%
Strike defense
59%
1.34
TDs / 15 min
1.00
88%
Takedown defense
71%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.05Δ 3.65 — meaningful gap+3.60

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1569 vs 1517Strikes25.5 vs 11.0Takedowns1.2 vs 0.0Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.00Form0.9 vs 1.0
Mairbek TaisumovFelipe Silva

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Mairbek Taisumov(9 fights)Felipe Silva(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +126.4|Blue -126.4
Recent Form
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Striker Score
Red +1.5|Blue -1.5
Grappler Score
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff
Red +139.0|Blue -139.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Mairbek TaisumovTargetFelipe Silva

By target zone

1
50% acc · 50%
Head
0
0% acc
0
0% acc
Body
0
0% acc
1
100% acc · 50%
Leg
0

By position

2
50% acc · 100%
Distance
0
0% acc
0
Clinch
0
0
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Mairbek Taisumov rounds
0
even
0
Felipe Silva rounds
Round 1Mairbek Taisumov edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns0
Control0:01
Knockdowns1
0Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

1
KD
0
2 / 4
Sig Strikes
0 / 7
50%
Sig Str %
0%
2 / 4
Total Strikes
0 / 7
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 0
—
TD %
—
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:01
Ctrl Time
0:00

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Felipe Silva0 / 70 / 70 / 00
1Mairbek Taisumov2 / 42 / 40 / 00

Mairbek Taisumov

StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights9

Felipe Silva

StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights3