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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Mairbek Taisumov won · U-DEC R3

Elo1492

Mairbek TaisumovvsDesmond GreenUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Oleinik · Saturday, September 15, 2018Moscow, Moscow, Russia

Official fight result

Mairbek Taisumov won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupMairbek Taisumov: Well-roundedvsDesmond Green: Elusive striker

The well-rounded fighter has more dimensions. The elusive striker needs to win the striking exchanges clearly.

Model Prediction: Mairbek Taisumov wins(54.2%)

Actual result: Mairbek Taisumov wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Mairbek Taisumov at -600 American odds

+$17 profit

$117 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Desmond Green enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Stance matchup historically favors Desmond Green (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Mairbek Taisumov

Red Corner

Desmond Green

Blue Corner

-600

(86%)

Vegas Odds

+450

(18%)

1492

Elo

1492

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'9"

Height

5'10"

185.42 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Mairbek Taisumov

oldest →

KOvs Anthony Christodoulou · Jan 15

KOvs Alan Patrick · Jun 15

KOvs Damir Hadzovic · Apr 16

KOvs Felipe Silva · Sep 17

vs Diego Ferreira · Sep 19

latest

Desmond GreenW3 streak

oldest →

vs Rustam Khabilov · Sep 17

vs Michel Prazeres · Feb 18

vs Gleison Tibau · Jun 18

KOvs Ross Pearson · Mar 19

vs Charles Jourdain · May 19

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Mairbek TaisumovMetricDesmond Green

2.98

Strikes / min

3.70

3.03

Strikes absorbed / min

2.51

64%

Strike defense

69%

1.34

TDs / 15 min

1.62

88%

Takedown defense

75%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.05Δ 1.24 — meaningful gap+1.19

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Mairbek TaisumovDesmond Green

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Mairbek Taisumov(9 fights)Desmond Green(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Recent Form

Red +0.9|Blue -0.9

Striker Score

Red -0.9|Blue +0.9

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red +272.0|Blue -272.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Mairbek TaisumovTargetDesmond Green

By target zone

21% acc · 41%

Head

27% acc · 59%

31% acc · 19%

Body

33% acc · 15%

79% acc · 41%

Leg

58% acc · 26%

By position

33% acc · 96%

Distance

33% acc · 100%

50% acc · 4%

Clinch

0% acc

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Mairbek Taisumov rounds

even

Desmond Green rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes10

Takedowns0

Control0:00

9Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Desmond Green edged it

Sig. strikes10

Takedowns0

Control0:04

14Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Mairbek Taisumov edged it

Sig. strikes7

Takedowns0

Control0:00

4Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Fight Stats

Totals

27 / 82

Sig Strikes

27 / 83

32.3%

Sig Str %

31%

28 / 83

Total Strikes

27 / 83

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 4

—

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:04

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Desmond Green	9 / 30	9 / 30	0 / 1
1	Mairbek Taisumov	10 / 26	10 / 26	0 / 0
2	Desmond Green	14 / 30	14 / 30	0 / 2
2	Mairbek Taisumov	10 / 29	11 / 30	0 / 0
3	Desmond Green	4 / 23	4 / 23	0 / 1
3	Mairbek Taisumov	7 / 27	7 / 27	0 / 0

Mairbek Taisumov

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights9

Desmond Green

StanceSouthpaw

Height70.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights7