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Lightweight
3 Rounds
Mairbek Taisumov won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1492
Mairbek Taisumov
Elo1492
Damir Hadzovic

Mairbek TaisumovvsDamir HadzovicUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Rothwell vs Dos Santos · Sunday, April 10, 2016Zagreb, Croatia

Official fight result

Mairbek Taisumov won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 3:44

Model Prediction: Mairbek Taisumov wins(76.7%)

Actual result: Mairbek Taisumov wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Mairbek Taisumov at -320 American odds

+$31 profit

$131 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Mairbek Taisumov has 54pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Mairbek Taisumov
Red Corner
VS
Damir Hadzovic
Blue Corner
-320
(76%)
Vegas Odds
+260
(28%)
1492
Elo
1492
37
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'9"
185.42 cm
Reach
177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Mairbek Taisumov
oldest →
W
KOvs Anthony Christodoulou · Jan 15
W
KOvs Alan Patrick · Jun 15
W
KOvs Felipe Silva · Sep 17
W
vs Desmond Green · Sep 18
L
vs Diego Ferreira · Sep 19
latest
Damir HadzovicL2 streak
oldest →
L
vs Christos Giagos · Jun 19
L
SUBvs Renato Moicano · Mar 20
W
vs Yancy Medeiros · Jun 21
L
vs Marc Diakiese · Jul 22
L
KOvs Terrance McKinney · Feb 25
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Mairbek TaisumovMetricDamir Hadzovic
2.98
Strikes / min
3.34
3.03
Strikes absorbed / min
3.74
64%
Strike defense
59%
1.34
TDs / 15 min
0.91
88%
Takedown defense
34%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.05evenly matched on net striking-0.40

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1554 vs 1500Strikes25.6 vs —Takedowns1.4 vs —Sub Atts0.00 vs —Form0.8 vs 0.0
Mairbek TaisumovDamir Hadzovic

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Mairbek Taisumov(9 fights)Damir Hadzovic(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Recent Form
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Striker Score
Red -48.5|Blue +48.5
Grappler Score
Red -49.6|Blue +49.6
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Mairbek TaisumovTargetDamir Hadzovic

By target zone

18
38% acc · 72%
Head
9
23% acc · 82%
1
20% acc · 4%
Body
1
50% acc · 9%
6
100% acc · 24%
Leg
1
100% acc · 9%

By position

25
42% acc · 100%
Distance
11
26% acc · 100%
0
Clinch
0
0% acc
0
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Mairbek Taisumov rounds
0
even
0
Damir Hadzovic rounds
Round 1Mairbek Taisumov edged it
Sig. strikes25
Takedowns0
Control0:01
Knockdowns1
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

1
KD
0
25 / 59
Sig Strikes
11 / 43
42%
Sig Str %
25%
25 / 59
Total Strikes
11 / 43
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 0
—
TD %
—
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:01
Ctrl Time
0:00

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Damir Hadzovic11 / 4311 / 430 / 00
1Mairbek Taisumov25 / 5925 / 590 / 00

Mairbek Taisumov

StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights9

Damir Hadzovic

StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights10