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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Nikolas Motta won · U-DEC R3

Elo1486

Elo1502

MaheshatevsNikolas MottaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · Saturday, November 23, 2024Macau, China

Official fight result

Nikolas Motta won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupMaheshate: StrikervsNikolas Motta: Pressure fighter

The pressure fighter will force exchanges. The cleaner striker needs lateral movement.

Model Prediction: Nikolas Motta wins(62.4%)

Actual result: Nikolas Motta wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Nikolas Motta at +200 American odds

+$200 profit

$300 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Maheshate is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Nikolas Motta has lost 100% of fights by KO.
Nikolas Motta has 36pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Maheshate

Red Corner

Nikolas Motta

Blue Corner

-245

(71%)

Vegas Odds

+200

(33%)

1486

Elo

1502

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'0"

Height

5'9"

180.34 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Maheshate

oldest →

KOvs Steve Garcia · Jun 22

vs Rafa Garcia · Dec 22

KOvs Viacheslav Borshchev · May 23

vs Gabriel Benitez · Apr 24

vs Gauge Young · Aug 25

latest

Nikolas Motta

oldest →

KOvs Jim Miller · Feb 22

KOvs Cameron VanCamp · Sep 22

KOvs Manuel Torres · Jun 23

KOvs Tom Nolan · Jan 24

KOvs Nazim Sadykhov · Jun 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

MaheshateMetricNikolas Motta

3.96

Strikes / min

4.13

5.96

Strikes absorbed / min

5.28

51%

Strike defense

52%

0.00

TDs / 15 min

0.00

47%

Takedown defense

83%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-2.00evenly matched on net striking-1.15

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

MaheshateNikolas Motta

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Maheshate(6 fights)Nikolas Motta(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -16.4|Blue +16.4

Recent Form

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red -105.0|Blue +105.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

MaheshateTargetNikolas Motta

By target zone

22% acc · 52%

Head

42% acc · 78%

69% acc · 16%

Body

64% acc · 9%

78% acc · 32%

Leg

91% acc · 13%

By position

33% acc · 95%

Distance

46% acc · 86%

33% acc · 5%

Clinch

29% acc · 3%

Ground

75% acc · 12%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Maheshate rounds

even

Nikolas Motta rounds

Round 1Nikolas Motta edged it

Sig. strikes16

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

25Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:07Control

1Knockdowns

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes24

Takedowns0

Control0:00

25Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:05Control

Round 3Nikolas Motta edged it

Sig. strikes16

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

28Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:20Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

56 / 169

Sig Strikes

78 / 166

33%

Sig Str %

47.3%

60 / 173

Total Strikes

87 / 183

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

1:32

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Nikolas Motta	25 / 63	32 / 74	0 / 0
1	Maheshate	16 / 44	16 / 44	0 / 0
2	Nikolas Motta	25 / 54	25 / 57	0 / 0
2	Maheshate	24 / 66	24 / 66	0 / 0
3	Nikolas Motta	28 / 49	30 / 52	0 / 0
3	Maheshate	16 / 59	20 / 63	0 / 0

Maheshate

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights6

Nikolas Motta

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights6