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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Magomed Zaynukov won · Decision R3

Elo1523

Elo1477

Magomed ZaynukovvsDamian RzepeckiUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov · Saturday, July 25, 2026Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

Official fight result

Magomed Zaynukov won

Decision · Round 3 · 5:00

Engine 7.0 was correct

Pre-fight pick: Magomed Zaynukov

If $100 had been placed on our pre-fight pick

Magomed Zaynukov at -346 American odds · hypothetical only

+$29 profit

$129 total returned

Tale of the Tape

Magomed Zaynukov

Red Corner

Damian Rzepecki

Blue Corner

-271

(73%)

Vegas Odds

+221

(31%)

1523

Elo

1477

Age

N/A

Orthodox

Stance

N/A

5'10"

Height

N/A

172.72 cm

Reach

N/A

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Magomed ZaynukovMetricDamian Rzepecki

15.67

Strikes / min

—

4.80

Strikes absorbed / min

—

58%

Strike defense

—

2.00

TDs / 15 min

—

Takedown defense

—

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

—

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +45.4|Blue -45.4

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Magomed ZaynukovTargetDamian Rzepecki

By target zone

49% acc · 62%

Head

13% acc · 38%

53% acc · 11%

Body

50% acc · 25%

87% acc · 27%

Leg

75% acc · 38%

By position

50% acc · 72%

Distance

25% acc · 94%

88% acc · 28%

Clinch

50% acc · 6%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Magomed Zaynukov rounds

even

Damian Rzepecki rounds

Round 1Magomed Zaynukov edged it

Sig. strikes22

Takedowns0

Control0:19

7Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:04Control

Round 2Magomed Zaynukov edged it

Sig. strikes29

Takedowns1

Control0:29

4Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:39Control

Round 3Magomed Zaynukov edged it

Sig. strikes23

Takedowns1

Control0:06

5Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:19Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

74 / 131

Sig Strikes

16 / 62

56%

Sig Str %

27.3%

109 / 167

Total Strikes

32 / 80

2 / 6

TDs

1 / 7

41.7%

TD %

33.3%

Sub Att

Rev

0:54

Ctrl Time

5:02

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Damian Rzepecki	7 / 16	16 / 25	1 / 1
1	Magomed Zaynukov	22 / 43	36 / 57	0 / 1
2	Damian Rzepecki	4 / 18	8 / 24	0 / 2
2	Magomed Zaynukov	29 / 49	44 / 65	1 / 1
3	Damian Rzepecki	5 / 28	8 / 31	0 / 4
3	Magomed Zaynukov	23 / 39	29 / 45	1 / 4

The Pick

Vegas favorite

Magomed Zaynukov

Odds

-346

Market-implied probability

Magomed Zaynukov 74%

Model pick shown for research — not a betting edge.

$100 bet returns

Magomed Zaynukov (model pick · research)$129

Damian Rzepecki$369

74% market-implied · model 50% (research) · vufc_v7_0_20260718_090638

🔒 Pick locked Jul 18, 2026, 9:29 AM UTC at -346 · never rewritten

Magomed Zaynukov

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights1

Damian Rzepecki

Stance—

Height—

Reach—

Fights1