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Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Magomed Gadzhiyasulov won · M-DEC R3

Elo1497

Elo1440

Magomed GadzhiyasulovvsBrendson RibeiroUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · Saturday, June 22, 2024Riyadh, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia

Official fight result

Magomed Gadzhiyasulov won

M-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Magomed Gadzhiyasulov wins(71.1%)

Actual result: Magomed Gadzhiyasulov wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Magomed Gadzhiyasulov at -410 American odds

+$24 profit

$124 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Brendson Ribeiro enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Magomed Gadzhiyasulov has 40pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Brendson Ribeiro has a 15cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Magomed Gadzhiyasulov

Red Corner

Brendson Ribeiro

Blue Corner

-410

(80%)

Vegas Odds

+290

(26%)

1497

Elo

1440

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'2"

Height

6'3"

190.5 cm

Reach

205.74 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Magomed Gadzhiyasulov

oldest →

vs Bruno Lopes · Jan 25

latest

Brendson RibeiroL4 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Diyar Nurgozhay · Mar 25

KOvs Azamat Murzakanov · Jun 25

KOvs Oumar Sy · Sep 25

SUBvs Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev · Apr 26

DECvs Magomed Tuchalov · Jul 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Magomed GadzhiyasulovMetricBrendson Ribeiro

2.89

Strikes / min

3.04

1.64

Strikes absorbed / min

3.91

62%

Strike defense

53%

3.67

TDs / 15 min

0.85

61%

Takedown defense

21%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.60

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.25Δ 2.12 — meaningful gap-0.87

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Magomed GadzhiyasulovBrendson Ribeiro

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Magomed Gadzhiyasulov(2 fights)Brendson Ribeiro(8 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +57.2|Blue -57.2

Recent Form

Red +1.0|Blue -1.0

Striker Score

Red +49.6|Blue -49.6

Grappler Score

Red +49.5|Blue -49.5

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Magomed GadzhiyasulovTargetBrendson Ribeiro

By target zone

60% acc · 58%

Head

32% acc · 35%

100% acc · 15%

Body

100% acc · 24%

70% acc · 27%

Leg

58% acc · 41%

By position

52% acc · 46%

Distance

45% acc · 76%

100% acc · 15%

Clinch

60% acc · 18%

83% acc · 38%

Ground

100% acc · 6%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Magomed Gadzhiyasulov rounds

even

Brendson Ribeiro rounds

Round 1Brendson Ribeiro edged it

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns1

Control1:43

11Sig. strikes

3Takedowns

1:36Control

Round 2Magomed Gadzhiyasulov edged it

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns1

Control3:41

5Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:20Control

Round 3Magomed Gadzhiyasulov edged it

Sig. strikes7

Takedowns3

Control4:35

1Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

26 / 39

Sig Strikes

17 / 35

67.7%

Sig Str %

44.3%

93 / 135

Total Strikes

29 / 51

5 / 5

TDs

3 / 6

100%

TD %

30%

Sub Att

Rev

9:59

Ctrl Time

1:56

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Brendson Ribeiro	11 / 22	14 / 29	3 / 5	0
1	Magomed Gadzhiyasulov	8 / 11	29 / 42	1 / 1	0
2	Brendson Ribeiro	5 / 10	8 / 13	0 / 0	1
2	Magomed Gadzhiyasulov	11 / 18	33 / 53	1 / 1	0
3	Brendson Ribeiro	1 / 3	7 / 9	0 / 1	0
3	Magomed Gadzhiyasulov	7 / 10	31 / 40	3 / 3	0

Magomed Gadzhiyasulov

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights2

Brendson Ribeiro

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach81.0"

Fights8