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Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Magomed Ankalaev won · U-DEC R3

Elo1538

Elo1515

Magomed AnkalaevvsVolkan OezdemirUFC Prediction Result

UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira · Saturday, October 30, 2021Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

Official fight result

Magomed Ankalaev won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupMagomed Ankalaev: Elusive strikervsVolkan Oezdemir: Pressure fighter

The elusive striker must use the cage and footwork. The pressure fighter forces the war.

Model Prediction: Magomed Ankalaev wins(56.6%)

Actual result: Magomed Ankalaev wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Magomed Ankalaev at -365 American odds

+$27 profit

$127 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Volkan Oezdemir is a KO finisher (56% of wins). Magomed Ankalaev has lost 50% of fights by KO.

Tale of the Tape

Magomed Ankalaev

Red Corner

Volkan Oezdemir

Blue Corner

-365

(78%)

Vegas Odds

+280

(26%)

1538

Elo

1515

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'3"

Height

6'2"

190.5 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Magomed Ankalaev

oldest →

KOvs Johnny Walker · Jan 24

vs Aleksandar Rakic · Oct 24

vs Alex Pereira · Mar 25

KOvs Alex Pereira · Oct 25

KOvs Bogdan Guskov · Jul 26

latest

Volkan Oezdemir

oldest →

vs Nikita Krylov · Oct 22

SUBvs Bogdan Guskov · Sep 23

KOvs Johnny Walker · Jun 24

vs Carlos Ulberg · Nov 24

KOvs Alonzo Menifield · Nov 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Magomed AnkalaevMetricVolkan Oezdemir

3.65

Strikes / min

4.99

2.59

Strikes absorbed / min

4.19

56%

Strike defense

55%

0.79

TDs / 15 min

0.50

87%

Takedown defense

80%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.06evenly matched on net striking+0.80

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Magomed AnkalaevVolkan Oezdemir

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Magomed Ankalaev(10 fights)Volkan Oezdemir(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +22.6|Blue -22.6

Recent Form

Red +1.2|Blue -1.2

Striker Score

Red -0.7|Blue +0.7

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red -231.0|Blue +231.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Magomed AnkalaevTargetVolkan Oezdemir

By target zone

52% acc · 65%

Head

34% acc · 48%

87% acc · 30%

Body

25% acc · 6%

100% acc · 5%

Leg

96% acc · 46%

By position

59% acc · 89%

Distance

45% acc · 85%

86% acc · 9%

Clinch

70% acc · 15%

100% acc · 2%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Magomed Ankalaev rounds

even

Volkan Oezdemir rounds

Round 1Magomed Ankalaev edged it

Sig. strikes27

Takedowns0

Control0:45

Knockdowns1

16Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns1

Control0:54

19Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Magomed Ankalaev edged it

Sig. strikes26

Takedowns0

Control0:06

13Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

66 / 108

Sig Strikes

48 / 102

59.3%

Sig Str %

46.3%

76 / 118

Total Strikes

56 / 112

1 / 4

TDs

0 / 1

16.7%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

1:45

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Volkan Oezdemir	16 / 36	22 / 42	0 / 0
1	Magomed Ankalaev	27 / 41	27 / 41	0 / 1
2	Volkan Oezdemir	19 / 34	21 / 38	0 / 0
2	Magomed Ankalaev	13 / 26	23 / 36	1 / 2
3	Volkan Oezdemir	13 / 32	13 / 32	0 / 1
3	Magomed Ankalaev	26 / 41	26 / 41	0 / 1

Magomed Ankalaev

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights16

Volkan Oezdemir

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights16