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Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Magomed Ankalaev won · KO/TKO R3

Elo1538

Elo1442

Magomed AnkalaevvsDalcha LungiambulaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar · Saturday, November 9, 2019Moscow, Moscow, Russia

Official fight result

Magomed Ankalaev won

KO/TKO · Round 3 · 0:29

Style matchupMagomed Ankalaev: Elusive strikervsDalcha Lungiambula: Wrestler

The wrestler must close distance through high-output striking. The elusive striker thrives in space.

Model Prediction: Dalcha Lungiambula wins(70.5%)

Actual result: Magomed Ankalaev wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Dalcha Lungiambula at +270 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Dalcha Lungiambula enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Magomed Ankalaev is a KO finisher (54% of wins). Dalcha Lungiambula has lost 60% of fights by KO.
Dalcha Lungiambula is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Magomed Ankalaev has lost 50% of fights by KO.

Tale of the Tape

Magomed Ankalaev

Red Corner

Dalcha Lungiambula

Blue Corner

-330

(77%)

Vegas Odds

+270

(27%)

1538

Elo

1442

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'3"

Height

5'8"

190.5 cm

Reach

193.04 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Magomed Ankalaev

oldest →

KOvs Johnny Walker · Jan 24

vs Aleksandar Rakic · Oct 24

vs Alex Pereira · Mar 25

KOvs Alex Pereira · Oct 25

KOvs Bogdan Guskov · Jul 26

latest

Dalcha LungiambulaL4 streak

oldest →

vs Markus Perez · Jan 21

vs Marc-Andre Barriault · Sep 21

SUBvs Cody Brundage · Mar 22

KOvs Punahele Soriano · Jul 22

KOvs Edmen Shahbazyan · Dec 22

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Magomed AnkalaevMetricDalcha Lungiambula

3.65

Strikes / min

3.07

2.59

Strikes absorbed / min

3.93

56%

Strike defense

52%

0.79

TDs / 15 min

2.14

87%

Takedown defense

77%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.06Δ 1.92 — meaningful gap-0.86

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Magomed AnkalaevDalcha Lungiambula

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Magomed Ankalaev(10 fights)Dalcha Lungiambula(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +96.4|Blue -96.4

Recent Form

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Striker Score

Red +1.8|Blue -1.8

Grappler Score

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Layoff

Red +126.0|Blue -126.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Magomed AnkalaevTargetDalcha Lungiambula

By target zone

62% acc · 64%

Head

17% acc · 67%

75% acc · 27%

Body

67% acc · 33%

67% acc · 9%

Leg

By position

52% acc · 52%

Distance

20% acc · 83%

80% acc · 9%

Clinch

100% acc · 17%

94% acc · 39%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Magomed Ankalaev rounds

even

Dalcha Lungiambula rounds

Round 1Magomed Ankalaev edged it

Sig. strikes20

Takedowns0

Control1:07

5Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:18Control

Round 2Magomed Ankalaev edged it

Sig. strikes22

Takedowns1

Control4:25

1Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:02Control

Round 3Magomed Ankalaev edged it

Sig. strikes2

Takedowns0

Control0:02

Knockdowns1

0Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

44 / 67

Sig Strikes

6 / 26

60.7%

Sig Str %

25%

91 / 123

Total Strikes

13 / 33

1 / 3

TDs

0 / 2

50%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

5:34

Ctrl Time

0:20

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Dalcha Lungiambula	5 / 20	8 / 23	0 / 0
1	Magomed Ankalaev	20 / 37	28 / 46	0 / 2
2	Dalcha Lungiambula	1 / 2	5 / 6	0 / 2
2	Magomed Ankalaev	22 / 25	61 / 72	1 / 1
3	Dalcha Lungiambula	0 / 4	0 / 4	0 / 0
3	Magomed Ankalaev	2 / 5	2 / 5	0 / 0

Magomed Ankalaev

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights16

Dalcha Lungiambula

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights7