Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Magomed Ankalaev enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Magomed Ankalaev is a KO finisher (54% of wins). Alex Pereira has lost 67% of fights by KO.
- Alex Pereira is a KO finisher (80% of wins). Magomed Ankalaev has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Alex Pereira has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Magomed AnkalaevW5 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Anthony Smith · Jul 22W
KOvs Johnny Walker · Jan 24W
vs Aleksandar Rakic · Oct 24W
vs Alex Pereira · Mar 25W
KOvs Bogdan Guskov · Jul 26 latest Alex PereiraL2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Jamahal Hill · Apr 24W
KOvs Jiri Prochazka · Jun 24W
KOvs Khalil Rountree Jr. · Oct 24L
vs Magomed Ankalaev · Mar 25L
KOvs Ciryl Gane · Jun 26 latest Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Magomed AnkalaevMetricAlex Pereira
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.06evenly matched on net striking+1.66
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Magomed AnkalaevAlex Pereira
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Magomed Ankalaev(10 fights)Alex Pereira(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +14.5|Blue -14.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.7|Blue -0.7
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Magomed AnkalaevTargetAlex Pereira
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Alex Pereira edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns0
Control0:00
28Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:17Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.